Martin Kulldorff kwanan nan rubuta da wadannan:
Ga allurar rigakafin mRNA, babbar tambayar da ke buƙatar amsa cikin gaggawa ita ce ko suna haifar da ƙarin haɗarin bugun zuciya da/ko wasu manyan matsalolin zuciya. Akwai rahotannin anecdotal da yawa, musamman a tsakanin matasa maza 'yan wasa, da kuma rahotannin VAERS da yawa.
Ya kuma rubuta cewa:
Jami'an kiwon lafiyar jama'a suna fuskantar gwaji don a taƙaice watsi da labarun cutar da alurar riga kafi da mutanen da suka damu game da rahotannin VAERS da ake samu a bainar jama'a, amma a cikin lafiyar jama'a, ba za mu iya yin hakan ba. Dole ne mu dauki damuwar mutane da mahimmanci.
Menene martanin masanin tattalin arziki game da shedar tatsuniyoyi? Wani abokina ya tambaye ni kwanan nan game da mahimmin kididdigar shaida. Amsata gareshi itace kamar haka. Jimlar abubuwan rayuwa ta mutane da yawa suna kaiwa ga hoto na gaba ɗaya, yayin da hoton gaba ɗaya ke ɓoye abubuwan rayuwa na musamman da mabanbanta.
Babu "shaidar labari" da yakamata a yi watsi da fifiko, kawai saboda an kiyaye ta akan ƙaramin ƙarami da/ko samfurin musamman. Tambayoyin suna iri ɗaya ne, ko game da "shaida ta zahiri" ko "shaida akan samfuri mafi girma ko yawan jama'a": Shin da gaske mun lura da canji a tsarin a cikin bayananmu? Wane irin ra'ayi ne, idan akwai, za mu iya yi daga abubuwan da muka lura?
Ban taba mai da hankali sosai ga 'yan wasa ba (babu laifi ga 'yan wasa), amma kwanan nan na kula da mutuwar Amurka. Yin amfani da bayanan CDC na jama'a, ni kawai ƙulla Mutuwar Amurka kowane wata, daga 1999 zuwa 2021.
Abin mamaki na shine, mace-macen da ake yi a sanadiyar kashe kansa baya nuna karuwa a cikin 2020-21. Amma mun dauka sun yi, ko ba haka ba? Shin hakan yana nufin ba ma mai da hankali ga kisan kai a da, amma abubuwan da suka faru a baya-bayan nan sun sa mu dace da wahalar wasu? Ko yana nufin ana samun mutuwar yanke kauna a wasu abubuwan da ke haifar da mutuwa? Mutuwar da ta haifar da guba ta bazata da fallasa abubuwa masu guba (wanda ya haɗa da miyagun ƙwayoyi na haɗari da yawan barasa) sun ƙaru. Mutuwar da aka yi ta hanyar kisan kai, da kuma mutuwar cututtukan hanta, ma.
Wasu sun yi tunanin mutuwar Afrilu 2020 ya yi yawa kuma ya ba da hujjar sanya rayuwarmu a tsare, amma Janairu 2021 lambobi sun fi muni - adadin mutuwar a 2021 daidai yake da 2020. Me yasa karuwa a cikin Janairu 2021 mutuwar? Ci gaba da karuwa a cikin mace-mace saboda karuwa da tsufa na yawan jama'ar Amurka? Mutuwar yanke kauna? Yawan mace-mace saboda yanayin rashin magani a cikin 2020? Mutuwar COVID ko ɗaya daga cikin bambance-bambancensa? Mutuwar rigakafin?
A shekarar 2021, adadin wadanda suka mutu ya karu a matakan da ba a taba ganin irinsa ba, a watan Satumba, don 45-54, 35-44 da 25-34 shekaru. Mutuwar Satumba 2021 ga masu shekaru 65-74 da 55-64 suma sun haura adadinsu na Afrilu 2020.
To, me yasa hakan yake da mahimmanci? Bari mu ɗauki ƙungiyar masu shekaru 45-54 misali. Bambance-bambancen lokaci na mace-mace ga wannan rukuni ya kasance ba a bayyana shi ba fiye da na shekaru 85 da kuma tsofaffi, amma duk wani kololuwar da suke da shi, har yanzu sun faru galibi a cikin Janairu ga ƙungiyoyin biyu - don haka mafi girman mutuwar shekaru 45-54 a watan Satumba ba a ji ba.
Me yasa karuwa a cikin Satumba 2021 mutuwar? Ci gaba da karuwa a cikin mace-mace saboda karuwa da tsufa na yawan jama'ar Amurka? Mutuwar yanke kauna? Bai dace da kololuwar mace-mace a watan Satumba ba. Yawan mace-mace saboda yanayin rashin magani a cikin 2020? Mutuwar COVID ko ɗaya daga cikin bambance-bambancensa? Ba daidai ba tare da kololuwar mace-mace da aka fi gani ga rukunin “ƙananan” shekaru.
Mutuwar rigakafin? Kololuwar watan Janairu 2021, wanda ya zarce na Afrilu 2020, ya mamaye mutuwar mutane daga shekaru 65 da kuma tsofaffi. Kololuwar watan Satumba na 2021 tana da shekaru 64 da ƙananan shekaru.
Amma shin waɗannan kololuwar ba su dace da na COVID-19 ba? Hakan yayi daidai.
Amma, yayin da kololuwar mutuwar COVID-2020 na Afrilu 2021 da Janairu 19 ke nuna adadin shekarun da aka saba, tare da mutuwar da aka samu da yawa ga ƙungiyoyin tsofaffi, Satumba 2021 ba ta yi ba. A cikin Satumba 2021, mutuwar COVID-19 da aka yi rikodin ya nuna shekaru 65-74 sun mutu cikin adadi sama da shekaru 75 da haihuwa, kuma mutuwar COVID-19 na masu shekaru 45-54 sun kai na shekaru 85 da haihuwa.
Wannan yana da faufau ya faru kafin mutuwa saboda cututtukan numfashi, daga 1999 zuwa 2019. Waɗannan kololuwar Satumba 2021 ga ƙungiyoyin “ƙananan” ne daidai da hasashen mutuwar alurar riga kafi.
Burina koyaushe shine in rage wahala. Ko da COVID-19 ya kasance mai ban tsoro, tabbas tsoro ba zai taimaka ba. Ko da allurar rigakafin ba su da lahani, hana mutane ikon ficewa, ba ya taimaka wa waɗanda suka yarda da hakan. Ina jin tsoron shigar da allurar COVID sun haifar da mutuwa? Kuna?
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Genevieve Briand malami ne a fannin tattalin arziki, tare da gogewar shekaru masu yawa yana koyar da darussan tattalin arziki iri-iri da ƙididdiga. A baya can, ta kasance Mataimakiyar Darakta a Jami'ar Johns Hopkins don MS a cikin shirin Ilimin Tattalin Arziki, Malami a Makarantar Kimiyyar Tattalin Arziki ta Jami'ar Jihar Washington, kuma Mataimakin Farfesa na Tattalin Arziki a Jami'ar Washington ta Gabas. Ta sami digiri na uku a Jami'ar Jihar Washington.
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