Kamar yadda yawancin hane-hane na annoba, aƙalla na ɗan lokaci, an ɗaga su, da yawa “masana” masu fafutuka sun fahimci suna ƙara yin takaici da yuwuwar asarar tasiri.
Wataƙila wannan shine bayanin dalilin da ya sa masu ba da izini da masu fafutukar siyasa masu ci gaba kamar likitan likitancin gaggawa Jeremy Faust suka juya zuwa matakan matsananciyar matsananciyar wahala - maƙasudin ƙaddamar da haɗarin COVID ga yara.
A cikin cikakkiyar distillation na alaƙar da ke tsakanin al'ummar "ƙwararrun" da masu tasiri na ci gaba, Faust ya buga wani ɓoyayyen ɓarna. Labari nan take fadada Ashish Jha, wani jami'in ma'aikacin Fadar White House a halin yanzu yana aiki a matsayin mai ba da amsa na Coronavirus.
Jha ya yi ta yada rashin fahimta game da abin rufe fuska yayin da ke inganta fasfo din rigakafin rigakafi da tabbatarwa, kuma a bazarar da ta gabata ta yi ikirarin cewa "wadanda ba a yi musu alluran rigakafi ba, wadanda ba a rufe su ba" su ne direbobin watsawa, yayin da yin watsi da karar da aka yi a wuraren da aka rufe da kuma alurar riga kafi kamar San Francisco:
Jha ya yi iƙirari a cikin tarihin rayuwar sa na Twitter, da alama ba shi da wata ma'ana, cewa shi "mai ba da shawara ne kan ra'ayin cewa oza na bayanai ya kai fam dubu na ra'ayi," yayin da ya yi watsi da bayanan da ke tabbatar da shi ba daidai ba.
Maimakon haka, bayan shekaru yana yada ra'ayoyinsa marasa inganci ga dubban daruruwan mabiyan Twitter, an daukaka shi zuwa Fadar White House ta hanyar faɗar "yi imani da kimiyya" masu ci gaba abin da suke so su ji. Don haka ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa ya zaɓi yada ɓarna daga wani mai fafutuka mai ci gaba tare da takaddun shaida, Jeremy Faust.
Faust ya tafi gaba daya cikin zurfin ƙarshen lokacin da kamfanonin jiragen sama suka ƙare aikin rufe fuska a watan Afrilu, yana mai ba da shawarar cewa waɗanda suka yarda da gaskiyar cewa abin rufe fuska ba sa aiki za su ɗauki alhakin mutuwar “jarirai” daga COVID:
Kuma ga rikodin, yanzu ya wuce wata guda tun wannan tweet ɗin kuma har yanzu babu wani rigakafin da aka ba da izini ga duk shekaru sama da watanni shida.
Faust ba a yi ba. A cikin wani misalin kuma na tsantsar ra'ayinsa game da wuce gona da iri kan haɗarin COVID ga yara, ya buga wannan abin banƙyama:
Rashin ƙwarewa game da rufe fuska da rashin fahimtar juna a gefe, shin Faust ya taɓa kula da yuwuwar "ƙananan yara" na iya mutuwa daga kamuwa da cutar mura a cikin jirage? Binciken sauri na Twitter na Faust yana kiran mutane rashin mutunci don ƙin sanya abin rufe fuska (ba tare da amfani ba) a cikin jirage don hana watsa mura ga yara ya sami sakamako mara kyau.
Tabbas, Faust ya kuma yi watsi da cewa bayan an ɗage takunkumin rufe fuska a kan jirage, babu wani sakamakon da 'yan uwansa suka yi hasashen zai faru.
Ba tare da ambaton cewa sabbin mace-mace da aka bayar da rahoton a Amurka sun kasance a kusa da matakan rikodin rikodin bayan an ɗaga wa'adin:
Kamar yadda aka zata, babu wani sabuntawa daga Faust, Andy Slavitt, Eric Feigl-Ding ko wasu da ake zaton "masana" game da dalilin da ya sa ba a sami karuwar mutuwar COVID ba duk da daukar matakin da zai karfafa wadanda ba a yi musu alluran rigakafi ba, magoya bayan Trump da ba a rufe ba su kai sararin sama.
Yanzu da muka tabbatar da cewa Faust, musamman game da haɗari ga yara, yana da tarihin ƙidayar tsoro, rashin daidaito a cikin farfagandar sa yana da ma'ana sosai.
Wasu da dama sun tabo batutuwan tare da furucinsa, gami da wannan zazzagewar zazzagewa:
Faust ya yi ƙarya game da “shaida” a ɗaya daga cikin sassan farko na labarin ta hanyar haɗa hanyoyin kirga guda biyu ba daidai ba:
Covidien-19 kashe kusan yara 600 a cikin 2021, wanda ya fi yadda mura ke kashewa a kowace shekara. A kololuwar Omicron, yaran Amurka 156 sun mutu daga Covid-19 a cikin wata guda (Janairu 2022). A cikin shekaru 10 da suka gabata cutar ta Covid-19, an matsakaita daga cikin yara 120 sun mutu sakamakon mura a kowace shekara- kuma hakan ya kasance ba tare da rufe fuska ko nesa ba.
Yawan mutuwar mura na yara da ya ambata sun dogara ne akan bayanan da aka ƙaddara cewa mura ta zama sanadin mutuwa, ba wai kawai abin da ke taimakawa ba. Saboda haka, CDC ta bayyana cewa wannan zai iya yin la'akari da nauyin mura tun lokacin da ba a jera matsalolin mura ba akan takaddun mutuwa:
Tabbas, CDC ta shahara sosai ta karɓi daidaitaccen ma'auni yayin bala'in cutar ta COVID, wanda ya haifar da lissafin COVID akan takaddun shaida na mutuwa don munanan hatsarori da sauran dalilai inda COVID yake, amma da wuya ya ba da gudummawa ga mutuwa.
Mutun da wannan ɓacin rai ya kasance cikin ƙwazo da ƙwazo da ƙwararru suka yi watsi da su da gangan:
Faust ya yarda cewa wannan hanyar ƙidaya na iya haifar da ƙima, amma kawai ga mura:
A halin yanzu, Cibiyar Kula da Rigakafi da Cututtukan Numfashi ta ƙasa (NCIRD) yana ƙididdige yawan nauyin cututtuka da dama. Wannan yana nufin suna la'akari da abubuwan da ke ciki da kuma masu haddasa mutuwa. (Sun kuma gyara ga wasu zaton, wasu sun fi na wasu.
A cikin rikicewar rashin gaskiyar sa na hankali, Faust yayi watsi da cewa wannan ainihin batun yana nan tare da COVID, ma'ana cewa kwatancensa yakamata ya zama banza.
Kelley ba makawa ya yi bayanin yadda wannan ke haifar da rarrabuwar kawuna tsakanin bayanan bayanan COVID daban-daban:
Ainihin duk abin da ke cikin wannan sakin layi karkatacciyar hanya ce ko kuma ƙarairayi:
Adadin adadin mutuwar mura na NCHS na shekara-shekara, a gefe guda, yana da inganci sosai kuma tabbas shine madaidaicin kwatancen Covid-19. Me yasa? Domin kamar duk mutuwar Covid-19, mutuwar mura na yara ne wanda aka ba da izini don bayar da rahoto ga jami'an kiwon lafiyar jama'a, wanda NCHS sannan ta ba da rahoto. (Ba a ba da izinin mutuwar cutar mura ba don bayar da rahoto, ta hanyar.) Tun da muna da duka biyun. ƙidaya Murar yara da mutuwar Covid-19 babu buƙatar ƙididdige ɗaya a ƙidaya ɗayan; Yin haka a haƙiƙanin annoba bai dace ba. Don kwatanta Covid-19 zuwa mura daidai, dole ne mu yi kwatancen apple-to-apples, wani abu da na ba da shawarar a ciki. Scientific American da kuma a jaridun likita.
CDC musamman ta saba wa waɗannan ikirari na mura, kuma Faust yayi watsi da cewa galibi ana rarraba mutuwar COVID saboda ƙa'idodi daban-daban. Yayin da ake samun karuwar mace-mace tare da COVID a tsakanin wadanda ke da shekaru 0-18…
…yana daidaita kusan daidai da ƙarin ƙimar gwaji:
Wanda ya fallasa wani aibi a cikin hujjarsa - ɗimbin bambance-bambancen gwaji. Kamar yadda wannan hoton ya nuna, Amurka a kololuwa a farkon wannan shekarar tana gudanar da gwaje-gwaje sama da miliyan 4 da rana.
Tsakanin Satumba 2020 da Janairu 2021, an sami kusan gwaje-gwajen dakin gwaje-gwaje 800,000 da aka ruwaito game da mura. Jimlar. Ba kowace rana ba. Jimlar. A cikin watanni 4. Wannan ba ƙaramin adadi ba ne, rahoton daga lokacin mura na 2015-2016 an kiyasta ƙasa da gwaje-gwaje 900,000.
{Asar Amirka a cikin 'yan shekarun nan ba ta taɓa yin ƙoƙarin gano kowane nau'in mura ba kamar yadda muke ƙoƙarin yin da COVID. Yanzu mun wuce 1 biliyan Gwajin COVID. Dubi yadda gwajin yawan jama'a ke aiki don sarrafa yaduwar kwayar cutar numfashi mai saurin yaduwa?
Wannan matsananciyar sha'awar samun kowane sakamako mai kyau na gwajin cuta wanda ba makawa zai iya kamuwa da kowa zai iya, kuma babu shakka, ya haifar da mafi girman adadin mace-mace daga wasu abubuwan da ake dangantawa da COVID. Da zarar ka duba, da yawan za ka samu.
Abin da Faust kuma ya yi watsi da shi, duk da haka wata hanya mai sauƙi kuma mai sauƙi don karyata hujjojinsa, duk yana haifar da mace-mace.
Ta hanyar kwatanta jimlar mace-mace a cikin ƙungiyoyin shekaru 0-18 zuwa mutuwar COVID, nan da nan ya bayyana yadda ƙarancin haɗarin COVID yake ga yara:
Ba tare da ambaton cewa yayin da mutuwar COVID ke tashi da faɗuwa ba, adadin adadin waɗanda suka mutu daga dukkan abubuwan da ke haifar da motsi kawai.
A lokacin bazara na 2020, lokacin da Faust ya yi imanin cewa rufe fuska, sa baki da bambance-bambancen da ba za a iya yaduwa ba ne ke da alhakin rage nauyin cutar, adadin mace-mace tsakanin yara 0-18 ya kasance daidai da lokacin bazara da lokacin hunturu 2021-2022 tare da Delta, Omicron, buɗe makarantu da rage rufe fuska. Mun sami ƙarin gwaje-gwaje da yawa don haka mun sami damar ƙara COVID a matsayin abin ba da gudummawa lokacin da ba lallai ba ne dalili.
Labarin Faust yana da ban sha'awa wanda kawai bayanin da zai iya yiwuwa shine yana jin sabon ikonsa da tasirinsa yana zamewa.
Wa'adin rufe fuska ya ƙare a yawancin sassan ƙasar, kuma mutuwar COVID ta faɗi sosai. Jiragen sama ba sa buƙatar abin rufe fuska, kuma kurwar sokewar tashi ba ta taɓa faruwa ba.
Sannu a hankali, kamar yadda kowane hasashe na halaka ke karyatawa, tare da karuwa a cikin jihohin Arewa maso Gabas masu rufe fuska, jama'a suna zuwa ga fahimtar cewa abin rufe fuska ba ya aiki kuma Faust da abokansa sun yaudare su. Ko da The New York Times yanzu ya yarda da umarnin rufe fuska ba ya aiki.
Wannan jeri ne kawai na batutuwa tare da labarin sa na tsoro. Akwai wasu da yawa. Faust ya san wannan; kawai bai damu ba. Haka kuma Jha.
Ba za su taɓa yarda cewa sun yi kuskure ba, cewa sun wuce gona da iri don cimma biyan bukatunsu da shawarwarin su yayin da suke ƙara girman kansu a cikin aikin.
Don haka komai tsadar gaskiya na hankali da dogaro da lafiyar jama'a da “kwarewa,” za su ci gaba da fitar da tsoro mara inganci don tsoratar da masu sauraron su yayin da suke samun ƙarin bayyanar kafofin watsa labarai.
An sake bugawa daga marubucin Mayarwa
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Ian Miller shine marubucin "Ba a rufe ba: Kasawar Duniya na Dokokin COVID Mask." An nuna aikinsa a watsa shirye-shiryen talabijin na kasa, wallafe-wallafen labarai na kasa da na duniya da kuma ambatonsa a cikin mafi kyawun littattafan sayar da kayayyaki da suka shafi cutar. Ya rubuta wasiƙar Substack, kuma mai suna "Ba a rufe ba."
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