Wannan layi mai ban sha'awa a cikin wuraren buɗewa na Gladiator, lokacin da sojojin Romawa za su sake halaka Bajamushe, suna roƙon a daidaita su har abada:
Ya kamata mutane su san lokacin da aka ci su. ~ Quntus
Misali, harin bama-bamai da sojojin Amurka suka kai a Bagadaza a baya-bayan nan ya sa ka yi mamaki. Shin ƴan ƙasar da suka taɓa zama wurin yaƙin neman zaɓe na “kaɗa da ban tsoro” na Washington na kawar da su daga munanan ayyukan Saddam Hussein ba su da godiya ko menene?
Ya kamata mutane su san lokacin da aka 'yantar da su!
Haka abin ya faru a wannan makon tare da buga sabon littafinmu. Yakin Trump akan Jari-Hujja. Sa'a daya kafin lokacin da aka tsara lokacin hirarmu, wani mai ra'ayin mazan jiya na kasa da mai watsa shirye-shiryen TV ya " soke ", wanda, bayan karanta babi na farko, ya kammala littafin ya yi adawa da Trump sosai.
To......ya kamata mutane su san lokacin da ake daure su!
Ee, ajanda mai ra'ayin mazan jiya ba kawai game da lalata Leviathan akan Potomac ba, amma tabbas wannan shine zuciyarsa. Duk abubuwan da suka biyo baya na hana ƴancin ƴancin da Babbar Gwamnati ta yi a ƙarshe suna yin bukin buɗaɗɗen kira ga kuɗin al'umma da dukiyoyinsu.
Don haka ta yaya "masu ra'ayin mazan jiya" za su iya bayyana jadawali da ke ƙasa? Don sanin, gaskiyar gaskiyar cewa Donald ya shiga cikin ruwa mai malalowa na Washington a cikin 2017 kuma ya ci gaba da cika shi fiye da kowane lokaci.
A zahiri, ko Washington ta biya haraji ko ta karɓi kuɗin kuɗin ta, ma'auni na ƙarshe akan girman da kutsen gwamnati shine kaso na kashe kuɗi na GDP. Wannan rabon bayanin ya kasance yana hawan tudu a hankali a duk tsawon lokacin yakin bayan yakin, amma a zahiri ya shiga yanayin jigilar roka a lokacin bala'in Donald a bara a ofis.
Adadin kashe kuɗin tarayya na 2020 ya kasance 31.3% na GDP. Haka kuma, tarihin sama da kasa na wannan rabo a cikin shekarun da suka gabata da suka gabata na kashe kashen Trump yana gaya muku duk abin da kuke buƙatar sani game da girman girman sa na kasafin kuɗi.
Don haka, lokacin da aka ba da 'em Jahannama Harry Truman ya bar ofis a ƙarshen Yaƙin Koriya, rabon kashe kuɗin tarayya na GDP ya kasance 18.5%, ko fiye da ninki biyu na da'awar Tarayyar kan samun kudin shiga na ƙasa wanda ya yi nasara a cikin shekaru masu albarka kafin Sabuwar Yarjejeniyar.
Daga nan sai babban Dwight Eisenhower ya shafe shekaru takwas masu zuwa yana mayar da sojan sojan da aka sake farfado da shi don 'yantar da yankin Koriya da ba a kidaya shi daga commies, tare da datse wasu kitse daga gadon kashewa na New Deal. Bayan dagewa cewa ba za a rage a cikin babban yaki haraji rates har sai da kasafin kudin da aka daidaita, Ike ya samu gwamnati ta kashe kudi dauki daga al'umma albarkatun kasa zuwa 17.2% na GDP a 1960. Wannan ya juya ya zama wani duk-lokaci post-1950 low, kuma an cika da Amurka ta mafi girma Wartime general, wanda ya san inda aka binne shi a kusa da naman alade da sharar gida sharuddan da aka binne shi a kusa da naman alade. a lokacin mulkinsa.
Ba da daɗewa ba LBJ ya shagaltu da kawo albarkar Babban Al'umma zuwa Amurka da Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya, wanda ya haifar da kaso na kashe kuɗi zuwa 19.6% a cikin 1968.
A wancan lokacin GOP yana ci gaba da husuma game da "kashe kashewa" amma kusan ba ya yin komai game da shi. Lokacin da gwamnatin Nixon-Ford ta bar fadar White House bayan 1976 rabon da aka kashe na GDP ya kara tsalle zuwa rikodin zaman lafiya na 21.5%.
Jimmy Carter ya yi magana da yawa a cikin shekaru hudu masu zuwa game da shawo kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da 'yantar da Amurka daga zargin da ake yi na shigo da mai na Farisa, amma da gaske ya gudana a wurin lokacin da ya zo ga Leviathan mai tasowa a kan Potomac. Rabon kashe kuɗin tarayya a cikin 1980 ya haura zuwa 21.8% na GDP, wanda shine kusan inda Carter ya fara.
Editan ku ya zama babban mai kula da kasafin kuɗi na ƙasa bayan haka, kuma mun ba shi gudu tare da cikakken albarka da goyan bayan Ronald Reagan. Amma Gipper ya kasance ainihin mai ra'ayin mazan jiya na kasafin kuɗi: Duk ya kasance don yin murabus a Washington, sai dai a gefen Pentagon na Potomac!
Don haka a shekara ta 1988 "ba a cikin iko" kashe kuɗin gwamnati da aka nuna a cikin yakin 1980 na Ronald Reagan ya ragu da, da kyau, maki 40 na GDP, zuwa 21.4%.
Sai kuma wasu manyan kudurori biyu na rage ragi a karkashin Bush the Elder da Bill Clinton, bi da bi, a farkon shekarun 1990. Dukansu sun kasance kyawawan yarjejeniyoyi na kasafin kudi na Capitol Hill waɗanda ke cinikin ƙarin ƙarin kudaden shiga don manyan kashe kuɗi, kuma sun faru kafin Newt Gingrich da Dick Cheney daga baya sun sanya rashin ƙarfi akan karuwar haraji na kowane girman, ga kowane dalili, har abada.
Waɗannan yarjejeniyoyi na rage gaira sun biyo bayan ƙaramin rabon zaman lafiya a cikin nau'in kashe kashen tsaro bayan Cold War na farko. Saboda haka, a lokacin da Clinton ta fice daga Ofishin Oval - tufafi masu launin shuɗi da duk - a cikin 2000, rabon kuɗin tarayya ya kasance, ta hanyar mu'ujiza, ya koma 18.6% na GDP, ko kuma inda Harry Truman ya bar shi a farkon karni na farko.
Kashe Kuɗin Tarayya Kamar% Na GDP, 1947 zuwa 2020
Dalilin waɗancan nasarorin, duk da haka, shine shugabannin GOP a cikin 1990s har yanzu sun yi imani da cewa rashi yana da mahimmanci kuma, har ila yau, Washington neocons ba su riga sun karɓi cikakken ikon ƙungiyar ba. Don haka bayan girgizar 9/11 ba zato ba tsammani sai dai ihu.
Daga nan sai Bush ƙarami ya ƙaddamar da Yaƙe-yaƙe na Har abada da manyan sabbin haƙƙin Medicare, da sauransu. Don haka rabon kashe kudi na Tarayya ya koma tafiya sama tare da daukar fansa. A shekara ta 2008, rabon ya koma 21.9%, wanda hakan ya kai ko da matakin rikodin tarihin Jimmy Carter.
Zuwan a cikin Fadar White House a kasa daga cikin zurfin koma bayan tattalin arziki tun 1930s, da Obama Democrats koma tare da alacrity zuwa Firayim da Keynesian famfo tare da shebur-shirye boondoggles na Fabrairu 2009. Wadannan matakan yi daraja kadan ga abin da ta sa'an nan shi ne hasashe-riven kudi tsarin da bashi-entombed Main Street tattalin arziki, amma suka yi da wani dan lokaci rikodi na Tarayyar Turai 24.9. na GDP.
Kamar yadda aka ɓace kamar yadda falsafar tattalin arzikinsu ta kasance gabaɗaya, duk da haka, Obama Keynesians suna da yanayin daidaito. Sun ba da izinin kashe kuɗi na Tarayya ya faɗi cikin sharuddan dangi yayin da tattalin arzikin Amurka ya murmure a hankali daga rugujewar gidaje da rushewar Wall Street na 2008-2009. A shekara ta 2016, rabon kuɗin tarayya ya dawo zuwa kashi 21.9 na GDP, wanda ke nuna babban matakin hangen nesa wanda ya koma shekaru 36 zuwa kasafin kuɗin Carter na ƙarshe.
Ba lallai ba ne a faɗi cewa, 2017 ta zama mafi kyawun yanayi a cikin shekarun da suka gabata don GOP don aiwatar da tsarin kasafin kuɗin da koyaushe yake magana akai. Tattalin arzikin ya kasance cikin cikakkiyar farfadowar tsakiyar zagayowar, kuma ba tare da wata bukata ba kwata-kwata-har ma ta hanyar fitilun Keynesian-don kara kuzarin kasafin kudi ko haɓakar ƙarancin kuzari ga tattalin arzikin Main Street. Kuma bayan shekaru 16 na rashin daidaituwa na kasafin kudi a karkashin Bush the Younger da Obama, kasafin kudin Tarayya ya kasance mai cike da kitse, sharar gida, da ɗimbin ayyukan Tarayyar da ba dole ba.
Amma Donald ba shi da alaƙa ko kaɗan don bisharar GOP ta gargajiya ta kuɗaɗen kuɗi. A bangaren tsaro, ya yi wa kansa sha’awar zama babban mai sasantawa a tarihin duniya, don haka ya nemi babbar sanda ta fuskar karfin soja. Saboda haka, a cikin shekaru uku na farko kasafin kudin tsaro - wanda ya riga ya yi kiba a cikin 2016 - ya tashi daga dala biliyan 593 zuwa dala biliyan 686 nan da 2019.
Dangane da kashe kudi a cikin gida, yana da manyan kifi da zai soya. Ƙididdigar rashin tsaro ta tashi daga dala tiriliyan 3.3 a 2016 zuwa dala tiriliyan 3.8 ta 2019. Don haka Donald ya bayyana sarai cewa gina bangon kan iyaka da kuma bin yaƙe-yaƙe na al'adu ya fi mahimmanci fiye da yin aikin GOP, wanda shine ya cire Leviathan a kowane dama, amma musamman a lokacin tsaka-tsakin aikin macromic.
Dangane da haka, tabo mai daɗi na kasafin kuɗi na 2017-2019 ya wuce ba tare da ko da kwarzane ba game da kashe kuɗin da Gwamnatin Trump ta yi. Bayan duk na data kasance haƙƙoƙin, sabon shirye-shirye, tsaye appropriations da gaggawa kashe matakan da aka totted up, jimlar Tarayya outlays tashi daga $4.175 tiriliyan a 2016 zuwa $4.792 tiriliyan a 2020. A matsayin wani al'amari na dangi kasafin kudin girma girma, cewa $617 biliyan riba a cikin na farko uku na kasafin kudin Donald a lokacin Ronald's na farko kasafin kudin shekara uku a lokacin Ronaldaga a cikin shekara-shekara kasafin kudin shekara. ofis.
Hakanan ya kai kashi 15% na kashe kuɗi, wanda ya yi daidai da haɓakar GDP na ƙima a cikin shekaru uku. Don haka ta hanyar lissafi, mafi girman rabon "babban mai kashewa" wanda gwamnatin Obama ta bari a baya a cikin 2016 har yanzu shine 21.9% na GDP bayan shekaru uku na Donald yana magana ba tare da bata lokaci ba game da yadda yake zubar da fadama.
Bai zubar da komai ba, ba shakka, lokacin da ya sami dama. Daga nan kuma sai aka yi taho-mu-gama — juyin mulkin da Dr. Fauci ya yi da kuma kungiyarsa ta azzaluman lafiyar jama'a. Yayin da Donald ya tsaya kamar barewa a cikin fitilolin mota yayin da suke kulle tattalin arzikin kasar, sannan ya nemi ceto naman alade na shekarar zabensa ta hanyar haifar da bala'in tsunami na kashe-kashe wanda ya haifar da kasafin kudin Tarayyar Najeriya dala tiriliyan 1.1 a cikin shekara guda ta 2020.
Kamar yadda tattalin arzikin Amurka, bi da bi, ya karu a ƙarƙashin hauka na Lockdowns, ƙimar kashewa ta harbi wata. Donald ya ba da shawarar kuma ya sanya hannu kan Dokar CARES na dala tiriliyan 2.2 bayan kwanaki 11 kawai na la'akari da Majalisar Wakilai ta musamman kuma ya amince da kowane ma'auni na ƙarin rikicin tattalin arziƙi da kasafin kuɗi wanda ya faru daga baya a cikin mummunan shekarar 2020.
Sakamakon haka, ƙazantaccen kasafin kuɗi na 2020 an rubuta shi da yawa a cikin adadin kashe kuɗi da aka kwatanta a cikin ginshiƙi na sama. Ya kai kashi 44.3% na GDP a cikin Q2 2020 kuma ya kai 31.3% na GDP na cikakkiyar shekara.
Ba lallai ba ne a faɗi, babu wani abu kusa da wannan kashewa bonanza a kan kudaden shiga na littafin, ma'ana cewa gibin kasafin kuɗi a zahiri ya shiga sararin samaniya a cikin shekaru huɗu na Donald.
A gaskiya ma, mutanen Obama sun bi ka'idodin Keynesian kuma sun kawo rashi a cikin yanayin yanayi daga kololuwar dala tiriliyan 1.4 a 2009 zuwa dala biliyan 585 ta 2016-kawai don samun sabon sabon Sarkin Bashi a cikin Ofishin Oval ya ci gaba da raguwa a sama, duk yayin da yake shelar Mafi Girma. Zuwa shekarar 2019 gibin ya koma kusan dala tiriliyan 1 a shekara.
Bayan haka, ba shakka, jahannama na kasafin kuɗi ya lalace a cikin 2020, tare da gibin da ya haura zuwa dala tiriliyan 3.1 mai ban mamaki da kusan kashi 15% na GDP. Gabaɗaya, ragi na Tarayya ya kai 9.0% na GDP a cikin shekaru huɗu na Donald - adadi kusan 4X matsakaicin matsakaicin bayan yaƙi na dukkan shugabannin, Dems da Republican.
A cikin kima na ƙarshe, ba za a iya cin gajiyar bala'in kasafin kuɗin Donald ba. Wato a saman tsarin kasuwanci lokacin da ya kamata a samu raguwa sosai ko kuma a kawar da shi gaba daya, ya kara kusan dala tiriliyan 8 ga basukan jama'a a cikin gajeren shekaru hudu.
Kamar yadda ya faru dala tiriliyan 8 na farko na bashin jama'ar Amurka ba a kai ba sai a shekara ta 2005, kuma an dauki shekaru 216 da shugabanni 43 kafin a kai can. Don haka gwada wannan don girman!
Don haka, a, hat ɗin MAGA sun kasance babban lokaci, hakika. Trump ya tabbatar da kansa a matsayin abin koyi na babban kididdigar gwamnatin Kaisar. Kuma duk da haka masu adawa da Babban Gwamnati da duk ayyukanta masu ban sha'awa ba sa son tattauna giwa a cikin dakin.
An sake bugawa daga David Stockman's sabis na sirri.
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David Stockman, Babban Malami a Cibiyar Brownstone, shine marubucin litattafai da yawa akan siyasa, kudi, da tattalin arziki. Shi tsohon dan majalisa ne daga Michigan, kuma tsohon Daraktan Ofishin Gudanarwa da Kasafin Kudi na Majalisa. Yana gudanar da shafin nazari na tushen biyan kuɗi ContraCorner.
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