a cikin wata takarda buga a Ciwon Cutar Lancet Dis, Haas da abokan aikinsa sun yi jayayya cewa maganin Pfizer ya kawar da mutuwar sama da 5,000 a cikin Isra'ila a cikin kwata na farko na 2021, yayin bala'in Covid wanda ya zo daidai da yakin rigakafin farko (Hoto 1).
Zan nuna a nan cewa da'awarsu karya ce. Idan an kawar da kowace mace-mace kwata-kwata, adadin ya yi nisa da kiyasin su - ba a iya gano shi a kididdigar mace-mace.
Figure 1
Akwai fiye da hanya ɗaya don nunawa karyar da'awa game da fa'idodi na musamman na rigakafin Covid. Zan dogara da kwatancen bayanai daga Sweden. Kasar da ta nuna duniya rashin amfani na kulle-kulle da umarnin rufe fuska zai sake tabbatar da taimako.
Dukansu Isra'ila da Sweden sun fuskanci babban guguwar Covid a cikin hunturu na 2020-2021, amma lokacin da aka jinkirta da kusan wata ɗaya (Hoto 2). A Sweden, guguwar mace-mace ta fara ne a watan Nuwamba kuma ta kai kololuwa a karshen watan Disamba, yayin da a Isra'ila guguwar mace-mace ta fara ne a watan Disamba kuma ta karu a karshen watan Janairu. Ana matsar da igiyoyin shari'a (ba a nuna) zuwa hagu da kusan makonni biyu.
Don ba da izinin kwatancen gaskiya, zan bincika mace-mace a cikin tsawon watanni biyar wanda ya ƙunshi cikakken mace-mace a Sweden: Nuwamba 2020-Maris 2021.
Figure 2
Ba kamar Isra'ila ba, Sweden ta fuskanci ruwan sanyi ba tare da allurar rigakafi ba. A lokacin da raƙuman mace-mace ya ragu, a ƙarshen Maris 2021, kashi 10 ne kawai na yawan jama'ar Sweden suka sami aƙalla kashi ɗaya na rigakafin Covid idan aka kwatanta da kashi 55 na al'ummar Isra'ila. A karshen watan Fabrairu adadin ya kai kashi 5 da kashi 50, bi da bi.
Yawan jama'ar Sweden ya ɗan fi na Isra'ila girma (miliyan 10.4 da miliyan 9.2), amma dangane da mace-mace, babban bambanci shine girman yawan tsofaffi (> 65 shekaru). Yana da kusan ninki biyu girma a Sweden: miliyan biyu da miliyan ɗaya. Sakamakon haka, yawan mace-mace a cikin Sweden ya kasance sau 2-2.5 duk sanadin mace-mace a Isra'ila (Hoto 3). A cikin 'yan shekarun nan rabon ya kasance da gaske karko, sama da 2. Darajar 1.9 a cikin 2019 yana nuna ƙarancin mace-mace a Sweden kafin barkewar cutar.
Figure 3
Hoto na 4 yana nuna adadin adadin mutuwar Covid da aka ruwaito a kowace ƙasa, a farkon da ƙarshen lokacin sha'awa, tare da adadin mutanen da suka karɓi aƙalla kashi ɗaya na rigakafin Covid da maki huɗu. Ana nuna jadawali akan ma'aunin log, wanda a gani yana ɗaukar sauye-sauye, ko rashin canje-canje, a cikin adadin adadin waɗanda suka mutu: lokacin da maƙallan suka yi kama da juna, ana kiyaye rabon. Idan Isra'ila ta yi nasara fiye da Sweden, ya kamata masu lankwasa su bambanta. Ba su yi ba.
Figure 4
A farkon Nuwamba 2020, adadin mace-mace na Covid ya kasance 2.3 (= 5,995/2,569). A ƙarshen Maris 2021, ya kasance 2.2 (= 13,583/6,205). A tsakanin, rabon ya kasance 2.1 (mutuwar Covid 7,588 a Sweden da 3,636 a Isra'ila). Wannan shine ainihin adadin mace-mace na Sweden da Isra'ila a cikin 'yan shekarun nan.
Hasa et al. da'awar cewa Isra'ila ya kamata ya ga fiye da 8,000 Covid mutuwar, in babu alurar riga kafi (Hoto 1), wanda ya nuna a kan 16,000 Covid mutuwar a unvaccinated Sweden da wani sa ran mace-mace rabo game da 4. Ainihin adadin mutuwar a Sweden ya 7,588, da mace-mace rabo 2.1, kamar yadda muka gani kawai. Ina shaida cewa an hana mutuwar mutane 5,000 a Isra'ila da aka yi wa allurar, amma an kashe 10,000 ba karkata a Sweden (sau biyu da yawa, daidai gwargwado)?
An ba da rahoton mutuwar Covid-19 misclassification. A cikin Isra'ila da Sweden, yawancin mutuwar da aka yi da Covid an kidaya su azaman mutuwar Covid. Don haka bari mu bincika, na gaba, duk- sanadin mace-mace a cikin lokacin da ya dace. Shin akwai shaidar dubban mutuwar da aka kashe a Isra'ila, amma ba a Sweden ba?
Hoto na 5 ya nuna adadin mace-macen da aka yi a kasashen biyu tsakanin Nuwamba da Maris a cikin shekaru ashirin da suka gabata (mutuwar lokacin sanyi). Bugu da ƙari, an kiyaye rabon a cikin 'yan shekarun nan: kusan ninki biyu na yawan mutuwar a Sweden fiye da na Isra'ila a cikin wannan watanni biyar.
Figure 5
Kamar yadda aka nuna a cikin jadawalin mashaya a hannun dama, an kiyaye wannan rabo (1.9) tsakanin Nuwamba 2020 da Maris 2021: mutuwar 43,954 a Sweden tare da 22,830 a Isra'ila. Idan kamfen ɗin rigakafin a Isra'ila ya kawar da mutuwar mutane 5,000, ya kamata rabon ya karu daga tushe na 2 zuwa kusan 2.3, saboda adadin wadanda suka mutu a Sweden ba tare da allurar rigakafin ya kamata ya wuce dubunnan "mutuwar da ba a kawar da ita ba." Ina shaida, a cikin duk-in-sa-kai mace-mace, cewa ƙasar da aka yi wa alurar riga kafi sosai ta fi ƙasar da ba a yi wa allurar rigakafi ba?
A ƙarshe, bari mu kwatanta yawan mace-mace a wancan lokacin (Hoto na 6). Lura, da farko, cewa adadin mutuwar da ake tsammanin a Sweden da Isra'ila, ya sake kusan 2 (40,000 / 21,000), ta amfani da zato masu zaman kansu game da mutuwar da ake tsammanin.
Figure 6
Ma'aikatar Lafiya ta Isra'ila ta kiyasta yawan mace-macen kashi 9.5 cikin dari a cikin watanni hudu (ban da Nuwamba 2020), mai kama da kiyasin mafi yawan mazan jiya (kashi 8.9), wanda ya hada da Nuwamba. Idan an kawar da mutuwar mutane 5,000, yawan mace-mace a wannan lokacin - idan babu allurar rigakafi - yakamata ya wuce kashi 30! Amma yawan mace-mace a Sweden ya kasance daidai da Isra'ila (< 9 bisa dari).
Duk wani awo da aka yi amfani da shi don kwatanta Sweden da ba a yi wa allurar rigakafin cutar ba tare da Isra'ila da aka yi wa alurar riga kafi - an ba da rahoton mutuwar Covid ko kuma duk abin da ke haifar da mutuwar - babu wani abin da ke nuna sabani daga tsarin mace-macen da aka saba a cikin ƙasashen biyu: ninki biyu na mutuwar a Sweden. Yin la'akari da yawan mace-mace, adadin wadanda suka mutu a lokacin hunturu na Covid ya kasance iri ɗaya. Ba shi yiwuwa a daidaita waɗannan bayanan tare da dubban mutuwar da aka hana a Isra'ila ta hanyar rigakafin Pfizer.
Lockdowns sun kasance banza kuma lalata, umarnin rufe fuska ba su da amfani, allurar rigakafin Covid sun kasance m kadan, banza, ko mafi muni, da kuma nazarin tasiri na tasirin maganin rigakafi sun ƙunshi akalla babban aibi, kuma mai yiwuwa Kara.
Waɗannan gaskiyar za su zama sani gama gari lokacin da aka maye gurbin masana kimiyyar Covid na zamani da sabon ƙarni na masana kimiyya tare da masu tunani. Bayan haka, zai zama aikin masana ilimin zamantakewa don bayyana yadda babban ƙarya, kamar wanda aka tattauna a nan, ya isa shafukan mujallolin likita a lokacin Covid.
An sake bugawa daga ablog na uthor
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Dokta Eyal Shahar farfesa ne a fannin kiwon lafiyar jama'a a fannin cututtukan cututtuka da kididdiga. Binciken nasa yana mayar da hankali ne akan ilimin cututtuka da kuma hanyoyin. A cikin 'yan shekarun nan, Dr. Shahar ya ba da gudummawa sosai ga hanyoyin bincike, musamman a fannin zane-zane da kuma son zuciya.
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