Wannan shi ne Halloween na farko a rayuwata - kuma tun lokacin yakin duniya na biyu lokacin da sukari ya kasance rarrabuwa a Amurka da Birtaniya - inda aka sami karancin alewa. Dukanmu za mu iya cin abinci kaɗan kaɗan, don haka sun gaya mana. Lafiya. Har yaushe ne za mu ci gaba da yin riya cewa duk wannan abu ne na al'ada kuma ana iya jurewa?
Karancin alewa alama ce ta batutuwa masu zurfi da ke shafar rayuwar tattalin arziki bayan kulle-kulle. Rubutun fanko da kuke gani a kantin sayar da gida shine kawai matakin ƙarshe na bayyana matsalolin da suka mamaye duk tsarin samarwa. Ba a gyara matsalolin. Dukkansu suna kara ta'azzara, ko da bayan duk alkawuran da aka yi na cewa rashi, rarrabuwar kawuna, da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na ɗan lokaci ne kawai.
An samu shiga cikin rundunar ma'aikata wani koma-baya. Sanadin ya samo asali ne ga girma, abin rufe fuska da umarnin alluran rigakafi, sauye-sauyen alƙaluma, da lalata gaba ɗaya. Yanzu yana kan matakin da ya kasance a cikin 1987, ma'ana asarar shekaru 35 ta fuskar yawan ma'aikata. Asarar ayyukan yi ya shafi mata da tsiraru daidai gwargwado. A yanzu haka, harbe-harbe da aka yi kan hurumin rigakafin na fidda mutane da yawa daga ma'aikata ba tare da son ransu ba.
The latest version na lissafin da ke ba da umarnin OSHA don tilasta alluran rigakafi a kan duk kamfanoni na ma'aikata sama da 100 yana sanya tara na $700,000, da har zuwa $70,000 a kowace rana da aikin ya ci gaba ko $26 miliyan kowane ma'aikaci a kowace shekara. Waɗannan tarar ba za a iya faɗi ba, sun dace da tsarin da aka sadaukar ba don lafiyar jama'a ba amma don tilastawa da sata.
Haɓakawa ta kowane ma'auni yana ƙara tabarbarewa, tare da fifikon Fed auna – Fihirisar kashe kuɗin amfani da mutum – yana bayyana canjin shekara-shekara wanda ya zarce mafi muni na ƙarshen 1970s. The Fihirisar Farashin Mai samarwa shi ma yana da bakin ciki, tare da canjin shekara-shekara a watan da ya gabata a kashi 40%. BLS ta kira shi "ƙara mafi girma na watanni 12 akan rikodin."
Gaskiya ne cewa karyewar sarkar samar da tashar jiragen ruwa da toshewar tashar jiragen ruwa na iya yin la'akari da yawancin wannan amma zai zama butulci a tarihi a yarda cewa fadada kuɗi ba tare da wani misali ba shima baya ɗaukar laifi. Kuma hakan yana faruwa duk da haka bayanan saurin kudi wanda ke nuna haɓakar ƙiyayyar haɗari wanda yawanci zai yi daidai da deflation. Gudun gudu ya fado tare da fara rikicin kulle-kulle, wanda ke da nasaba da dalilin da ya sa karuwar kudaden da aka samu bai haifar da faduwar darajar gaggawa ba. Amma maimakon sannu a hankali komawa ga al'ada, saurin gudu ya ɗauki wani tsomawa (ma'ana cewa buƙatar ma'auni na kuɗi yana ƙaruwa). Haushiwar farashin kayayyaki da ke kewaye da mu yana faruwa duk da irin wannan ci gaba da aka samu.
Yanzu bari muyi magana game da samarwa. Labarin yana da kyau daidai.
"Tattalin arzikin Amurka ya sami wasu matsalolin mota a cikin kwata na uku," ya ce Bloomberg. Wata hanya ce ta sanya shi. Kera motoci ya fadi daga wani dutse tare da raguwar kashi 41%, galibi saboda karancin guntu. Hakan ya bai wa GDP babban koma baya. A cikin tsarin shekara-shekara, GDP ya tashi kusan 2.0%. Wannan abin tausayi ne idan aka yi la'akari da hadarin 9.3% wanda ya faru a bara. A yanzu, kawai don gyara wannan rikici, kuna buƙatar ci gaba na 5-8% kawai don dawo da abin da muka rasa. Ya bayyana a yanzu cewa asarar ba za ta taba yin nasara ba. Ba kawai shekara guda na rayuwar mu aka sace ba. Akwai tsadar tsadar da ba a gani ba, a cikin fasaha, ilimi, fasaha, da lafiya.
Dalilin rugujewar a cikin abubuwan samar da motoci ga karancin guntu. Matsala ce ta haɓaka farashin kwamfutoci, na'urorin wasan bidiyo, firij, injin wanki, sarrafa iska na gida, da kusan duk wani abu da muke dangantawa da rayuwar zamani.
Karancin guntu ya bayyana kusan wannan lokacin a bara lokacin da masana'antun suka ba da umarni ga duk kwakwalwan kwamfuta da suka soke a cikin bazara na 2020 saboda kulle-kulle. Dabarar ƙididdiga na lokaci-lokaci ta yi aiki mafi kyau na shekaru 40. Me yasa wani zai yi tsammanin ba zai yi aiki ba a wannan lokacin?
Amma hakan bai samu ba. Lokacin da aka ba da odar, masana'antun sun gano cewa masu yin guntu a Taiwan, Japan, da Hong Kong sun riga sun sake gyara masana'antunsu don biyan bukatun yanki na kwamfyutocin kwamfyutoci da na'urorin wasan bidiyo, mafi kyau don hidimar aji na fanjama. Wannan ya bar masu kera motoci ba su da zaɓi. Har ma sun yi yunƙurin gina motoci masu ƙarancin fasali.
Bloomberg Quint an ruwaito a farkon wannan shekarar:
"Kamfanonin kera motoci kuma suna gina motoci masu ƙarancin fasaha. Peugeot tana komawa ga tsofaffin na'urori masu saurin gudu na analog don hatchback 308, maimakon amfani da nau'ikan dijital waɗanda ke buƙatar kwakwalwan kwamfuta masu wahala. Kamfanin General Motors Co.. tsarin kewayawa da kusan kashi uku.”
To, bai isa ba. Hakan ya faru ne saboda tashoshin jiragen ruwa sun toshe kuma ba sa isar da ko da na’urorin mota da suka wajaba don kammala motoci ba tare da fasahar kere-kere ba. Wannan wata alama ce ta zamani. A duk lokacin da muka yi imani cewa mun ware matsala ɗaya da ke karya tattalin arziki, wata kuma ta bayyana. Faci cewa daya da biyu sun bayyana. Yi wani abu game da waɗannan biyu da biyar sun bayyana.
A yanzu karancin guntu yana kara muni bai fi kyau ba. The WSJ rahotanni:
Lokacin jira don isar da guntu ya ci gaba da hawa sama da lafiyayyen makonni 9-12. A lokacin bazara, jira ya kai makonni 19 akan matsakaita, a cewar Susquehanna Financial Group. Amma har zuwa Oktoba, ya wuce makonni 22. Ya fi tsayi ga mafi ƙarancin sassa: makonni 25 don abubuwan sarrafa wutar lantarki da makonni 38 don microcontrollers waɗanda masana'antar kera motoci ke buƙata, in ji kamfanin.
Rushewar tattalin arziƙin yana shafar kowa da kowa, kowace rana a cikin yanayin rayuwar Amurkawa. Idan dan Republican ya kasance shugaban kasa, ba za mu ji labarin wani abu ba, kuma daidai ne. Amma saboda kafafen yada labarai suna son kare shugaban kasa, duk abin da muke samu shi ne karatuttuka masu ban sha'awa da aka binne a shafukan kasuwanci.
A halin da ake ciki, gwamnatin na fuskantar babbar matsala ta halasta a kowane mataki. Babu wani abu da ya tura yana aiki. Sun ba da damar harbe-harben jama'a daidai a tsakiyar ƙarancin ma'aikata. Manufar wauta tana da wuyar tunani. Amincewa yana lalacewa a cikin tsarin mulki amma har ma a cikin al'umma gaba ɗaya.
Kamar waƙa, ƙimar amincewar Biden ya yi daidai da bayanan tattalin arziki. Layin launin toka rashin yarda ne. Layin kore shine yarda. Amma kifta idanunku kuma kuyi tunanin cewa layin launin toka shine hauhawar farashi kuma layin kore shine yawan aiki. Wannan shi ne daidai lokacin da muka sami kanmu a ciki.
Mun sami damar juya kusurwa a bara bayan kulle-kullen, amma hakan bai faru ba. Manufar gwamnati ta yi muni, ba ta yi kyau ba. Yanzu Washington tana magana ne game da harajin da ba a taɓa yin irinsa ba kan ribar da ba a samu ba ko da yayin da take matsawa don sa ido sosai kan duk ma'amalar banki. Wannan yana isar da sako ga kowa da kowa a kasar. Ba ku mallaki kuɗin ku ba. Kuna haya shi, kuma gwamnati ta ƙayyade lissafin ku.
Yin la'akari da waɗannan duka, yana da taimako don tunawa da tarihin zamani na Cuba. Me yasa? Wani lamari ne na wata kasa mai wayewa da wadata wacce ta tsaya cik bayan juyin juya hali na siyasa. Har yanzu yana makale a cikin lokaci, tare da motoci daga shekarun 1950 waɗanda ke da mahimmancin mahimmanci musamman azaman kayan tarihi da aka adana. Shin hakan zai iya faruwa a nan? Wadanda za su kore shi ba su yi koyi da tarihi ba.
Amirkawa sun taɓa gaskata kansu cewa su mutane ne na musamman masu albarka, waɗanda ke dawwama cikin wadata a cikin al'ummar da babu makawa. Wannan ya yi aiki shekaru da yawa bayan yakin duniya na biyu. Yanzu za mu iya ƙidaya kanmu a cikin la’anannu na musamman, ba za mu iya tsira daga mummunan lalacewar ƙasar da mutanen da ba su da bangaskiya ko sha’awar dukan ra’ayin ’yanci suke mulki.
Lockdowns ya koya wa tsarar masu mulki cewa za su iya tserewa da manufofi masu ban mamaki kuma babu abin da ya tsaya musu. Su ci alawa, suka ce, har alawar ma ta tafi. Aikin kowa a yanzu shi ne gano yadda za a fitar da su daga hanya, don mu ci gaba da haskaka hasken wayewa.
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Jeffrey Tucker shine Wanda ya kafa, Mawallafi, kuma Shugaban Kasa a Cibiyar Brownstone. Shi ne kuma babban masanin tattalin arziki na Epoch Times, marubucin littattafai 10, ciki har da Rayuwa Bayan Kulle, da dubunnan labarai da yawa a cikin jaridu masu ilimi da shahararru. Yana magana da yawa akan batutuwan tattalin arziki, fasaha, falsafar zamantakewa, da al'adu.
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