Mummunan kuskuren aikace-aikacen ka'idar taka tsantsan ɗan takara ne nagari don kuskuren kuskure guda ɗaya da aka yi a duk lokacin bala'in. Sunan "ka'idar taka tsantsan" kanta yana ba da shawara mai hankali, idan mai ra'ayin mazan jiya, tsarin kula da haɗari a fuskar rashin tabbas.
Menene ya kamata mu yi yayin fuskantar haɗari mai zuwa kamar yaduwar ƙwayar cuta mai kisa a cikin al'ummar duniya yayin da akwai rashin tabbas na kimiyya game da batutuwa da yawa? Ka'idar yin taka tsantsan ta bukaci matakan rigakafi don magance matsalar, tun kafin masana kimiyya su warware mahimman abubuwan da ba a sani ba; amma yadda ya kamata a yi amfani da shi daidai ya kamata koyaushe auna farashi tare da matakin taka tsantsan da ake amfani da shi don ƙididdige farashi kamar yadda ake amfani da shi don rage matsalar.
A cikin aiwatar da ƙa'idar aiki, matsalolin nan da nan suka fara. Rashin tabbas na kimiyya sanannen abu ne mai wuyar warwarewa kafin aikin kimiyya mai ɗaukar lokaci don warware su. Menene ka'idar yin taka tsantsan ta ce a cikin Maris 2020 game da, alal misali, adadin masu kamuwa da cutar, yanayin yaɗuwar cuta, rigakafi bayan kamuwa da cuta, da kuma alaƙar tsananin cutar?
Masana cututtukan cututtuka, masana kimiyya, da masana kiwon lafiyar jama'a duk sun yi magana da murya ɗaya. Dole ne mu ɗauka mafi muni. A gaskiya, dole ne mu zama kamar biyu ko uku daga cikin ɗari masu kamuwa da cuta za su mutu; cutar tana yaduwa da farko ta ɗigon ruwa da kuma saman; babu wani rigakafi bayan kamuwa da cuta; kuma kowa, ko da wane shekaru, yana cikin haɗarin asibiti da mutuwa bayan kamuwa da cuta. Kusan kowane ɗayan waɗannan zato ya zama kuskure, amma yawancin masana kimiyya ba su san hakan ba a lokacin.
A karkashin wadannan zato da ka'idojin taka tsantsan suka haifar, masana kimiyya masu tasiri da hukumomin kiwon lafiyar jama'a a ko'ina sun kawar da duk wani rashin tabbas tare da aiwatar da manufofin kulle-kullen da ke ci gaba har zuwa yau. Abin takaici shine yayin da mafi munin zato game da kwayar cutar ta zama ba daidai ba, har yanzu ana aiwatar da manufofin kulle-kullen a duk duniya tare da tsauraran matakai.
Kamar yadda dare ya biyo baya, makarantu da wuraren wasan da ake buƙatar rufewa, gidajen abinci da aka tilasta wa barin kasuwanci, majami'u, majami'u, da masallatai an rufe su, an sanya plexiglass, an rufe kiɗa da waƙa, mutane sun ce kar su rungumi jikokinsu, da ƙari, ko kuma miliyoyin za su mutu daga COVID. Kuma yayin da dalilin yin taka tsantsan ya ƙafe, an yi watsi da kuɗin da ake kashewa.
Ya kamata duk wata gwamnati da ke da alhakin yin la'akari da ire-iren ire-iren ire-iren ire-iren manufofin kulle-kulle a matsayin wani bangare na manufar yin taka tsantsan.
Abubuwan da ke tattare da waɗannan hane-hane - har yanzu ana kirga su - ciki har da dubun-dubatar talakawan duniya da aka tura su ga ƙaƙƙarfan yunwa da kuma bayan haka, dubunnan dubunnan suna cikin haɗari daga sabbin cututtukan da ba a yi musu magani da cutar ta HIV ba, cutarwar tunani da aka sanya kan yara da matasa akan sikelin da ba a iya misaltuwa a baya, kuma ba shakka, lalacewar tattalin arziƙin duniya.
Daidaitaccen aiki na ƙa'idar taka tsantsan zai yi la'akari da yuwuwar irin wannan lahani na kulle-kullen, tare da ɗauka mafi muni, kamar yadda ƙa'idar ta nuna. Madadin haka, a cikin firgici na Maris 2020, ƙwararrun masana kimiyya da jami'an kiwon lafiyar jama'a sun shawarci masu tsara manufofin da su ɗauka mafi kyau game da waɗannan lahani na haɗin gwiwa. Sun amince da a sarari cewa kulle-kullen ba zai yi tsada ba kuma babu wani zabi illa tilasta dokar hana fita, da farko na tsawon makonni biyu sannan na tsawon lokacin da za a dauka don kawar da yaduwar cutar al'umma.
Da masu tsara manufofi sun ɗauka mafi muni game da kulle-kulle kamar yadda ka'idar taka tsantsan ta faɗa, da sun yanke shawarar cewa ƙa'idar ba ta da amfani musamman don taimakawa yanke shawara kan hikimar kullewa. Akwai yuwuwar lahani ga bala'i a ɓangarorin biyu na manufofin kulle-kulle kuma babu wata hanyar kwatanta haɗari da sakamakon da ƙa'idar taka tsantsan ta bayar. Madadin haka, masu tsara manufofi za su iya duba ga wasu, ayyukan sarrafa haɗari masu hikima waɗanda suka taimaka wa duniya jure wa cututtukan da suka gabata cikin nasara fiye da yadda muke da wannan.
Masana kimiyya masu tasiri, 'yan jarida, da jami'an kiwon lafiyar jama'a sun kara matsalar ta soja ka'idar yin taka tsantsan. A kan dalilan da ba su dace ba, sun kai hari ga masana kimiyya da suka yi kira da a kara yin bincike game da hujjojin annoba game da kwayar cutar da tattalin arziki wanda ya tabo yiwuwar cutar da tattalin arziki.
Abin kunyarsu, wasu masana kimiyya sun yi kira ga ƙididdigewa tattaunawar kimiyya game da COVID da kuma de-platforming na fitattun masana kimiyya waɗanda ke da ra'ayi game da gaggawar kullewa ko kuma sun yi ƙarfin hali don yin tambaya game da hasashen da ke tattare da manufofin kullewa. Wannan kira na kawo karshen muhawarar kimiyya ya taimaka rushe amincewar mutane kimiyya cibiyoyin, aikin jarida na kimiyya, Da kuma jama'a kiwon lafiya hukumomin.
Lalacewar za ta ɗauki shekaru ana gyarawa.
Rayuwar da ba ta da haɗari ba ta yiwuwa, musamman a cikin annoba - kuma ba a so. Kowane zaɓi da muke fuskanta ya haɗa da cinikin kashe ɗaya ga wani. Ko da wani abu mai sauƙi kamar tuƙi zuwa aiki ya haɗa da yin haɗari - Zan iya yanke shawarar tafiya da sadaukar da lokaci don haɗarin tuki, amma rayuwata na iya zama mafi talauci a gare shi. Kamar yadda dukkanmu dole ne mu daidaita kasada a cikin kowane yanke shawara da muka yanke, dole ne masu tsara manufofi su ma musanya wani yanki na rashin tabbas da wani a cikin shawararsu, koda lokacin da hadarurruka suka yi yawa kamar yadda suke a lokacin cutar ta COVID.
Ka'idar yin taka tsantsan na iya zama jagora mai ma'ana - idan (kuma kawai idan) farashin yin taka tsantsan ya cika cikin yanke shawara.
A duk lokacin da aka yi amfani da shi, ƙa'idar taka tsantsan yana buƙatar ƙalubalantar ƙa'idar da kuma bin diddigin, don taimaka mana yanke shawara lokacin da rashin tabbas, kuma yanayin yana cikin jujjuyawa kamar yadda aka saba a cikin annoba. Waɗannan zaɓuɓɓukan suna jaddada neman sabbin abubuwa, kasancewa masu tsattsauran ra'ayi game da shaida, buɗe ido don yin kuskure, daidaita ayyukanmu yayin da muke ƙara fahimtar juna, da sadarwa tare da amana, ba tsoro ba.
Babu wata ƙa'ida mai sauƙi da za ta maye gurbin kyakkyawan hukunci wanda ya samo asali daga muhawara mai ƙarfi wanda ke gayyatar gudummuwa daga kowane lungu a cikin tattaunawar jama'a.
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Dr. Jay Bhattacharya likita ne, likitan dabbobi kuma masanin tattalin arziki. Shi Farfesa ne a Makarantar Kiwon Lafiya ta Stanford, Mataimakin Bincike a Ofishin Nazarin Tattalin Arziki na Kasa, Babban Babban Jami'in Cibiyar Nazarin Manufofin Tattalin Arziki na Stanford, Memba na Faculty a Stanford Freeman Spogli Institute, da Fellow a Kwalejin Kimiyya da 'Yanci. Binciken nasa ya mayar da hankali ne kan tattalin arziki na kiwon lafiya a duniya tare da kulawa ta musamman kan lafiya da jin dadin jama'a masu rauni. Co-Marubucin Babban Sanarwa na Barrington.
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