A ranar Juma'a da yamma, 13 ga Maris, 2020, na tsaya kusa da ofishin kujera na a lokacin da nake barin jami'a. Makon mai zuwa shine hutun bazara na jami'ar mu, kuma, tare da cutar covid-XNUMX ta riga ta taso, jita-jita na yawo. Ina so in sani ko kujera ta tana tunanin za mu koma harabar bayan hutu.
"Ban tabbata ba tukuna," in ji shi, "amma daga abin da na ji, na yi shakka. Duba imel ɗin ku ranar Litinin."
Wannan Litinin, ba shakka, ita ce ranar 16 ga Maris, ranar da duniya ta rufe. Don haka a'a, ba mu koma harabar ba bayan hutu, ko bayan watanni. A Jojiya, mun “dawo” zuwa koyarwa a harabar a cikin watan Agusta—sosai da gingerly, kamar yadda I rubuta don Brownstone a watan Maris. Amma wasu jihohi sun kiyaye cibiyoyin karatun su fiye ko žasa a rufe na dogon lokaci - shekara guda ko fiye, a wasu lokuta.
Wannan babban kuskure ne, wanda yawancin kwalejoji da jami'o'i yanzu ke biyan farashi.
Na furta cewa, a tsakiyar Maris na 2020, na siya da yawa cikin "kwanaki 15 don daidaita tsarin." Ya yi kama da ma'ana, kuma an ba ni sharadi tare da yawancin Amurkawa masu ma'ana don ɗaukar gwamnatinmu da jami'an kiwon lafiyar jama'a a) sun san abin da suke yi, kuma b) suna da mafi kyawun mu a zuciya.
Har zuwa Ista, ko da yake—wanda ni da matata muka yi a gida, tun da cocinmu ma a rufe yake, wanda wani makala ne gaba ɗaya—Na fara samun shakka. Kuma a watan Mayu, yayin da na yi la'akari da lambobin da ke shigowa daga Italiya da Isra'ila - a, na yi nawa bincike - ya bayyana a sarari a gare ni cewa covid kusan ba ta da wata barazana ga matasa masu lafiya da ƙaramin barazana har ma da farfesoshi masu matsakaicin shekaru.
Idan muna so mu ci gaba da rufe harabar jami'o'i a lokacin bazara, don kawai mu kasance a gefen aminci, ina tsammanin hakan zai yi kyau. Dalibai za su iya yin karatun bazara akan layi idan suna so. (Makarantar bazara ce kawai, daidai?) Amma na ga kamar babu dalilin da zai hana cibiyoyi a duk faɗin ƙasar su sake buɗewa gabaɗaya don zangon bazara.
A watan Yuni, na buga wani Essay zuwa wannan tasiri akan gidan yanar gizon Martin Center. (Wannan ita ce Cibiyar Sabunta Ilimi ta James G. Martin, wacce aka fi sani da Cibiyar Fafaroma ta Hanyar Ilimi mai zurfi. Idan ba ku riga kuka saba da shi ba, yi wa kanku alheri kuma ku duba.)
Hujja ta, a mayar da martani ga abubuwa masu tasiri sosai kamar "Shari'ar Sake Budewa"In The Chronicle of Higher Education Kuma "Kwalejoji Suna yaudarar Kansu"In The Atlantic, ya ƙunshi manyan abubuwa guda huɗu: 1) covid, a haƙiƙa, ba shi da kisa musamman ga matasa ko ma masu matsakaicin shekaru; 2) hakika, yana da ƙasa da kisa fiye da yawancin haɗarin da muke ɗauka tare da matasan da suka kai jami'a, ciki har da shan miyagun ƙwayoyi da haɗarin tuki; 3) Hana samari masu lafiya daga taro, da kamuwa da cutar covid, da murmurewa—kamar yadda mafi yawansu suka yi—zai rage jinkirin ci gaban al’umma zuwa ga muhimmin rigakafin garken garken, hanya daya tilo ta kawo karshen annobar; da 4) idan ba mu sake buɗe cibiyoyin karatun ba, rajistar za ta ragu kuma za a cutar da cibiyoyi da yawa - musamman waɗanda ke hidima ga marasa galihu, kamar kwalejojin al'umma da ƙananan jami'o'in yanki. Wannan ƙwararrun masu zaman kansu da manyan fitattun jahohi za su yi kyau daidai zai taimaka kawai don faɗaɗa nasara da gibin albashi.
Kamar yadda ya bayyana, ba shakka, na yi daidai a kan dukkanin lambobi hudu. Godiya ga aikin na Stanford's John Ioannidis, yanzu mun san cewa a cikin ƙasashe masu tasowa, adadin masu kamuwa da cutar ya kasance ƙasa da kashi 0.01 cikin ɗari - ƙasa da mura - ga duk wanda ke ƙasa da 70 (wato, kusan kowa a cikin harabar).
Mun san kamuwa da cuta yana ba da labari rigakafi mafi girma kuma mai dorewa fiye da "alurar rigakafi," don haka gaskiyar cewa yawancin mutane sun kamu da cutar kuma sun warke shine babban dalilin da ya sa kwayar cutar ta zama annoba. Kuma mun san cin zarafin miyagun ƙwayoyi masu haɗari, ciki har da fentanyl, yana ci gaba da yaɗuwa a harabar jami'o'i da ma sauran jama'a, inda ake kashe matasa fiye da yadda covid ke iya yi.
Ina so in mayar da hankali a nan, duk da haka, kan batu na na ƙarshe: sakamakon rashin sake buɗe kolejoji. Domin abin takaici, wannan hasashe ma, ya zama daidai.
Shekaru da yawa, manyan shugabannin ed sun san cewa muna kan hanyar yin rajistar "dutse." Kamar yadda na bayyana a watan Nuwamba 2019 Essay don Cibiyar Martin, yawan haihuwar Amurka ya faɗi daga tebur a cikin 2008, tare da farkon Babban koma bayan tattalin arziki. Ƙara shekaru 18 (matsakaicin shekarun da matasa suka fara koleji) zuwa 2008 yana kai mu zuwa 2026. Shi ke nan lokacin da ake sa ran yin rajista zai ragu sosai saboda yawan jama'a - wato, ba kamar yadda yawancin daliban da suka kammala karatun sakandare ba.
Ta hanyar mayar da martanin da suka yi na rashin hankali, rashin kimiyya, firgici, kwalejoji da jami'o'i sun yi nasarar hanzarta wannan faɗuwar da shekaru biyar. Bisa lafazin data daga National Student Clearinghouse, rajistar harabar ya ragu da kashi takwas cikin ɗari tsakanin 2019 da 2022 - kuma yana ci gaba da faɗuwa, kodayake yana da ya daidaita kadan. Labari na Agusta 2022 in The Chronicle of Higher Education, mai taken "Ragewar Higher Ed, "ya lura cewa "kusan dalibai miliyan 1.3… sun bace daga kwalejojin Amurka yayin bala'in Covid-19."
(Na tuna da wani tuba da na yi da ɗaya daga cikin shugabannin majami'u na ba da daɗewa ba bayan an sake buɗe cocinmu a ƙarshe, a cikin Maris 2021, inda ya koka game da ƙarancin halartar taron. “To, me kuka yi tsammani?” Na yi tambaya. “Korar mutane har tsawon shekara guda kuma yawancinsu ba za su dawo ba.” Da alama hakan ya shafi kwalejoji, haka nan.
A sakamakon wannan mummunar asarar da aka yi na yin rajista, makarantun da ke da rauni a fadin kasar suna yin rauni. Wasu sun rufe kofofinsu na dindindin. A binciken by Higher Ed Dive ya gano cewa, tun daga Maris 2020, sama da manyan makarantun ilimi dozin uku sun daina kasuwanci, gami da kwalejoji na Kirista masu zaman kansu 18. Masu gudanarwa suna nuni ga covid-wanda ke nufin, ga martaninmu na covid-a matsayin ƙusa na ƙarshe a cikin akwatin gawa. Paula Langteau, shugabar Kwalejin Gabatarwa, wata ƙaramar makarantar Katolika a South Dakota da ta yi fama da matsalar kuɗi tsawon shekaru, ta ce, "Abubuwa sun fara juyi… don kyau, [sannan] ya buge."
Yawancin cibiyoyin karatun da ba sa fita kasuwanci duk da haka suna fama da raguwar kasafin kuɗi mai zurfi sakamakon rashin samun isassun “kujeru.” A yawancin jihohi, ana ba da kuɗin cibiyoyi bisa ko dai ƙidaya ko FTE (daidai da yin rajista na cikakken lokaci). A taƙaice, ƙananan ɗalibai suna nufin ƙananan rabon jihohi, ban da ƙarancin kudaden shiga daga koyarwa da kudade.
Jiha ta gida-wanda, ku tuna, sake buɗe cibiyoyin karatu (nau'in) tun kafin mafi yawan - ta ga an rage kasafin kuɗin karatunta sama da dala miliyan 130. Bisa ga Tsarin Jami'ar Jojiya yanar, "An riga an shirya 26 daga cikin kwalejoji da jami'o'in gwamnati 20 za su sami karancin kudi a shekara mai zuwa a karkashin tsarin tallafin karatu na jihar saboda raguwar yawan rajista. Tasirin kasafin kudin ga wadannan cibiyoyi 71.6 da ke karkashin tsarin samar da kudade yana nufin sun riga sun fuskanci asarar dala miliyan 24 na asusun jihar na FY66. Karin dala miliyan XNUMX za ta zo kan wannan ragin."
Manyan jami'o'in bincike irin nawa ba shakka za su iya ɗaukar waɗancan ragi tare da ƙaramin tasiri kan ayyuka ko ayyuka na yau da kullun. Amma kwalejoji na jihohi da ƙananan jami'o'in yanki waɗanda ke da fa'ida - kuma waɗanda ke ba da kulawa ga jama'ar da ba a kula da su ba, kamar mazauna karkara, ƙwararrun ƙwararrun ƙwararrun ƴan tsiraru, da marasa galihu na tattalin arziƙi-ko shakka babu za su ji daɗin hakan.
Haka kuma ba Jojiya kadai ba. A ciki Pennsylvania, rejistar ya ragu da kusan kashi 19 cikin ɗari, tare da hasarar madaidaicin kuɗin kuɗin kowane ɗalibi. A cikin Connecticut, har zuwa 'yan makonnin da suka gabata, cibiyoyin jama'a na fargabar cewa za su iya rasa kashi ɗaya cikin biyar na kudaden jiharsu. The Chronicle rahotanni cewa yarjejeniyar minti na karshe a majalisar dokokin jihar ta hana "mafi munin yanayi" amma ya kira "yakin kudi" "alama mai banƙyama na yuwuwar ƙulla bel" a nan gaba. Kuma A cikin Mafi Girma Ed bayanin kula cewa, duk da cewa tallafin da jihohi ke bayarwa ga kwalejoji ya karu kadan a duk fadin kasar a cikin FY 2023 - galibi saboda zagayen karshe na biyan kudin covid na tarayya - "Lokacin bunkasa [na iya zama] ya zo karshe."
Shin za a iya hana duk wannan zafin idan an sake buɗe cibiyoyin karatun gabaɗaya a cikin faɗuwar 2020? Wataƙila ba—amma yawancinsa zai iya samu. A mafi muni, da mun ci gaba da bijirar mu a hankali zuwa ga tsaunin 2026, muna ba 'yan majalisa da masu gudanarwa lokaci mai yawa don shiryawa.
Maimakon haka, mun ƙirƙiri wani dutsen wucin gadi kuma muka yi tsalle, ba tare da fa'idar parachute ko tarun tsaro ba. Sakamakon ya kasance mummunar gurgunta tsarin karatunmu na manyan makarantu-wani abin da ban yi imani da zuriya masu zuwa za su gode mana ba.
-
Rob Jenkins abokin farfesa ne na Ingilishi a Jami'ar Jihar Georgia - Kwalejin Perimeter da Babban Jami'in Ilimi a Canjin Harabar. Shi ne marubuci ko marubucin littattafai shida, gami da Tunani Mafi Kyau, Rubuta Mafi Kyawu, Barka da zuwa Ajina, da Nagarta 9 na Manyan Shugabanni. Baya ga Brownstone da Reform na Campus, ya rubuta wa Townhall, The Daily Wire, American Thinker, PJ Media, The James G. Martin Center for Academic Renewal, da The Chronicle of Higher Education. Ra'ayoyin da aka bayyana a nan nasa ne.
Duba dukkan posts
