Duk wani adadin masana da masu sharhi kan al'umma suna kallon fafatawar zaben shugaban kasa na yanzu tsakanin Kamala Harris da Donald Trump ta fuskar tarihi, al'umma, ko siyasa. Sun zo da hasashe da dama, wasu daga cikinsu sun fi wasu sha'awa da mahimmanci, amma, a ganina, sun rasa alamar. A cikin wannan taƙaitaccen maƙala, burina shi ne in nuna cewa hanya mafi fa'ida ta kallon wannan zaɓen ita ce kallon Trump da Harris a matsayin Nixon da McGovern 2.0.
A tsakiyar-zuwa ƙarshen 1960s, ƙungiyar da na daɗe ana magana da ita azaman hippy-dippy slackers na Woodstock Nation sun yi nasarar ɗaukar kwalejoji da jami'o'i a Amurka. A sakamakon haka, waɗannan cibiyoyi suna ci gaba da kasancewa daidai a siyasance, tunanin rukuni na ci gaba da horarwa ta hanyar miliyoyin kowace shekara fiye da shekaru 50. Wannan koyaswar har ta kai ga wadanda ba su halarci jami’a ba, tun da kusan dukkansu sun samu karatun digiri a wajen malamai masu digiri na jami’a. Wannan a ƙarshe ya haifar da, ta hanyar zaɓen 2016, a yawancin masu jefa ƙuri'a suna da wannan tunanin.
Komawa zuwa ƙarshen 1960s, waɗannan 'yan hagu, sun bugu da ikon da suke da shi, sun yi ƙoƙari su fita daga waje suna kallon taron dimokuradiyya na 1968 a Chicago (inda suka haifar da tashin hankali, amma shugabancin jam'iyyar ya ci gaba da ɗaukar dan takara na al'ada, Hubert Humphrey), don zabar dan takarar shugaban kasa na jam'iyyar a 1972 Miami Beach. A zahiri, na yi imanin cewa kwatanta taron Demokraɗiyya na 1972 da babban taron 2024 mai zuwa zai ba da ƙarin haske fiye da kwatanta taron 2024 mai zuwa zuwa 1968, wanda masana da yawa suka yi kuma suke ci gaba da yi.
Dan takarar jam'iyyar Democrat na 1972 shine George McGovern, memba na Mafi Girma Generation, tare da tarihin soja a lokacin yakin duniya na biyu wanda yayi kama da George HW Bush. Sai dai ana ganin manufarsa ta siyasa ta yi nisa zuwa hagu na jam’iyyarsa. Har yanzu ina tuna cewa, saboda duk wasu rigima da rigingimu da aka yi a lokacin taron, da kuma yunƙurin da masu zanga-zangar suka yi a wajen babban taron na matsar da dandalin jam’iyyar har zuwa hagu, McGovern ya fita daga zauren taron don ganawa da masu zanga-zangar. Sakamakon haka bai yi jawabin karbuwa ba sai tsakiyar dare. Saboda ƙarshen sa'a, masu sauraron talbijin ba su da yawa, tunda mutane suna buƙatar ɗanɗano barci don su yi aikinsu a washegari. A cikin rubuta wannan, duk ya yi kama da lardi ta ma'aunin yau!
McGovern ya zabi Thomas Eagleton a matsayin abokin takararsa, wanda a lokacin Sanatan Missouri ne. Ba da daɗewa ba bayan an ambaci sunansa, an bayyana cewa Eagleton ya sha fama da matsananciyar damuwa da ke buƙatar maganin electroshock a lokuta da yawa. Halin farko na McGovern shine don tallafawa Eagleton 1000%, amma jim kadan bayan haka; An maye gurbin Eagleton da Sargent Shriver. Sauti saba?
Yaƙin neman zaɓe na gaba ya haifar, alhamdu lillahi, a ɗaya daga cikin mafi girma, idan ba zaɓe mafi girma na kowane lokaci ba. Nixon ya lashe kowace jiha ban da Massachusetts (da Gundumar Columbia), gami da mahaifar McGovern na South Dakota. Ya kara yawan kuri'un da ya kai fiye da miliyan 15, wanda hakan ya karu da sama da kashi 40 cikin 1968 daga XNUMX. Duka danyen kuri'u da karuwar kashi sun kasance mafi girma da aka taba gani kuma har yanzu suna nan a matsayin tarihi. Ku yarda da ni lokacin da na ce Nixon ya cim ma wannan nasarar duk da bai taɓa kasancewa cikin neman lambar yabo ta Miss Congeniality ba!
Idan aka kwatanta, babban na biyu mafi girma na ƙuri'a mafi girma na jimlar ƙuri'a ta wani mai ci shine miliyan 11.3 (wanda ke wakiltar karuwar kashi 18) ta Donald Trump a cikin 2020, amma ya yi asarar kuri'un jama'a da zaɓe. Abin lura, kawai sauran wanda ke kan kujerar don ƙara yawan kuri'unsa da kowane adadi (a cikin wannan yanayin daga 750,000 zuwa miliyan 1.1), duk da haka ya rasa kuri'un jama'a kuma zaben shine Martin Van Buren a 1840; a dai dai lokacin da adadin kuri'un da aka kada ya kai kusan umarni biyu. Duk wani Shugaban kasa mai ci da ya sha kaye a zaben sa na sake zaben ya samu karancin kuri’u fiye da yadda ya samu a karon farko. Wani abin sha'awa shi ne, Barack Obama shi ne kawai shugaba mai ci da ya sake lashe zabe a karo na biyu da karancin kuri'u fiye da yadda ya samu a karon farko.
A cikin 2024, ɗalibai da zuriyar hippy-dippy sun jejjefe maƙiya na ƙarshen 1960s, waɗanda a yanzu ke iko da kusan dukkanin masu iko a cikin Jam'iyyar Demokraɗiyya (tare da tsarin gudanarwa), sun sake murƙushe tsokoki, kuma suna samun goyon baya daga masu ƙarfi, masu arziƙi masu ra'ayin duniya. Wanda aka zaba shine Kamala Harris, wanda aka daukaka zuwa wannan matsayi saboda nakasar tunanin Joe Biden. Ta dai zaba a matsayin abokin takararta Tim Walz. Tare, suna wakiltar mafi yawan wadanda aka zaba a cikin tarihin Jam'iyyar Democrat, kamar yadda McGovern da Shriver suka yi a zamaninsu.
Abin da kawai ake shakkar shakku a babban taron da za a yi shi ne ko akwai muryoyin da ba su yarda da juna ba a tsakanin wakilai masu matsayi da matsayi. Ina tsammanin waɗannan muryoyin za a murƙushe su. Kamar yadda aka ambata a sama, mutane da yawa za su mai da hankali ga waɗanda ke wajen zauren taron don kwatantawa da kuma bambanta da abin da ya faru a 1968. Na yi imani yana da amfani idan aka kwatanta abin da ya faru a 2024 da abin da ya faru a wajen zauren taron a 1972. Har yanzu, ina tsammanin cewa a wannan lokacin, ba zai yi tasiri ba a kan abin da ke faruwa a zauren taron, wanda zai yi aiki kamar tsohuwar Tarayyar Soviet.
A ranar 10 ga Agusta, 1972, na cika shekara 21. Wannan ya sanya ni cikin mafi ƙanƙanta a cikin waɗanda suka cancanci kada kuri'a. A matsayinsa na wanda ya jefa kuri'a ga McGovern da ƙwazo, kamar yadda yawancin matasa masu jefa ƙuri'a suka yi, yana nufin cewa dattawana sun kula da hankali, kusan duk sun mutu. A sakamakon haka, mutanen da suka kada kuri'a a 1972 za su wakilci kadan ne kawai na kuri'un da aka kada a 2024 kuma za su karkatar da ci gaba fiye da yadda aka yi a 1972.
Don haka, sakamakon zaben 2024, idan aka kwatanta da sakamakon zaben 1972, zai nuna wani gagarumin ma'auni na ingancin koyarwar da aka yi a kasar nan cikin shekaru 50+ da suka gabata. Don haka, za mu san nisan da muka yi zuwa ga zama jihar Markisanci a tsawon rayuwata na zabe (shekaru 52). Da fatan, har yanzu mun yi nisa daga mahangar babu komowa cewa ƙuri'un zamba ba za su isa su karkatar da sakamako ga 'yan Markisanci ba. Duk da haka, ko da za a iya guje wa wannan ƙwaƙƙwaran, gaskiyar cewa sakamakon da aka samu a wannan lokacin a cikin yaƙin neman zaɓe ya kamata mu dakata.
Na yi imani da cewa da zarar mun ketare bakin Marxist; babu ja da baya...kuma ko da ba mu tsallaka wannan layin ba a wannan karon, mai yiwuwa mun riga mun yi nisa don fara aikin juya jirgin ƙasa. A matsayin wanda yake da jikoki matasa; wannan shine babban damuwata. An jefar da mutuwa, kuma duka yana hannun Ubangiji daga wannan gaba. A nawa bangaren, ina addu'ar samun bugu na jam'iyyar Republican a 2024 wanda ya yi daidai da 1972.
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Steven Kritz, MD likita ne mai ritaya, wanda ya kasance a fagen kiwon lafiya tsawon shekaru 50. Ya sauke karatu daga SUNY Downstate Medical School kuma ya kammala zama na IM a Asibitin Kings County. Wannan ya biyo bayan kusan shekaru 40 na ƙwarewar kiwon lafiya, ciki har da shekaru 19 na kulawa da haƙuri kai tsaye a cikin ƙauyen ƙauye a matsayin Kwamitin Certified Internist; Shekaru 17 na bincike na asibiti a wata hukumar kiwon lafiya mai zaman kanta-ba don riba ba; kuma sama da shekaru 35 na shiga cikin lafiyar jama'a, da tsarin kiwon lafiya da ayyukan gudanarwa. Ya yi ritaya shekaru 5 da suka gabata, kuma ya zama memba a Hukumar Binciken Institutional Review (IRB) a hukumar da ya yi bincike a asibiti, inda ya kasance shugaban IRB tsawon shekaru 3 da suka gabata.
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