Akwai ɗan gajeren lokaci a cikin bazara na 2020, 'yan kwanaki kaɗan zuwa "Kwanaki 15 don Slow Yaduwa," lokacin da muka sami damar canza yanayin mu. Bambance-bambancen juzu'i inda da mun yi abu daya kawai daban, kuma ya kama mahaukacin COVID coaster kafin ya kulle shi, abubuwa na iya zama daban a cikin waɗannan shekaru ukun da suka gabata.
A cikin mako na uku na Maris an shirya yin taron gaggawa na sirri tsakanin Shugaba Donald Trump, Kwamitin Tattalin Arziki na COVID, da takwas daga cikin fitattun kwararrun masana kiwon lafiyar jama'a a duniya. An tsara wannan rukunin masana kimiyya don gabatar da mafi girman matakin yanke shawara a cikin gwamnatinmu tare da madadin POV don kullewa; Ra'ayi na biyu da ake bukata game da kunkuru na kasa.
Ba mu san shi ba a lokacin, amma wannan zai kasance mafi mahimmanci taro na zamanin COVID-19. Amma bai taba faruwa ba.
Me ya faru?
Wannan tambaya ce mai ban tsoro tun daga Yuli 27, 2020 lokacin da BuzzFeed News ya ba da labari a cikin labarin Stephanie M. Lee: "Rukunin Masana Kimiya na Kwararru sun yi kokarin gargadin Trump game da kulle-kullen a cikin Maris." A cikin labarinta, Ms. Lee ta tsara wannan taron da aka soke a matsayin harsashi marar tushe, kuma masana kimiyya a matsayin masu shiga tsakani mara amfani, amma ga yawancin mu gaskiyar cewa akwai ma. ya yunƙurin ganawa irin wannan abu ne mai ƙarfafawa.
Domin tsawon watanni an sa mu gaskanta cewa wannan labari, martani mai ƙarfi ya kasance gaba ɗaya, cewa “kimiyya ta daidaita” kuma duk da haka a nan mun gano cewa wasu shahararrun masana kimiyya a duniya ba su yarda da “kimiyya ba.” Ba wai kawai ba, amma suna da manyan batutuwa game da tsarin, sun yi tambaya game da bayanan, kuma sun damu sosai game da abubuwan da ke cikin ƙasa, tasirin dogon lokaci ga al'ummarmu daga kullewa. Amma labarin Lee bai ma yi ƙoƙarin amsa babbar tambayar da ta bar a cikin labarinta ba: "Me ya sa?"
Idan kun tuna baya zuwa Late Winter/Early Spring 2020 duk duniyar da aka haɗa ta tafi daga "Hey, ba babban abu ba," zuwa "Hey, me ke faruwa a Italiya?" "Shit, dukanmu za mu mutu!" cikin ‘yan makonni kadan. COVID mania da sauri ya kama mu duka, kuma a farkon Maris ba zato ba tsammani mun kasance ƙwararrun kujeru a kan guguwar cytokine da ƙididdigar shari'o'i, har ma kanwar ku Glenda ta buga hakan. "Lallaba Lankwasa" Washington Post labarin akan Facebook kuma ba zato ba tsammani mun sami kanmu a ranar 15 ga Maris, 2020 muna kallo cikin firgici mai ban tsoro yayin da Trump, Fauci, da Birx suka tsaya a can, suna gaya mana kyakkyawan ra'ayinsu shine rufe kasar baki daya. Sati biyu kacal suka ce. Don kare asibitocin mu daga "kumburi" in ji su. Idan ba mu yi haka ba, in ji su, mutane miliyan biyu za su mutu tabbas.
Kuma wa za mu yi jayayya? Suna da nunin iko tare da tambura da taswira, abin dariya na Imperial College London, kuma ba shakka ƙarfin gwamnati a bayansu.
Halin kasa ya kasance… m. Wasu daga cikin mu, amma ba su kusa isa ba, sun firgita; a zahiri da tsananin adawa da wannan gaba ɗaya ra'ayi akan dalilai na kimiyya, ɗabi'a da na shari'a. Amma an fi mu yawa da yawa. Galibin jama'ar sun firgita sosai, kuma kuri'ar jin ra'ayin jama'a ta nuna cewa sun goyi bayan wadannan matakan da ba a taba ganin irinsu ba. Wasu daga cikin ’yan uwanmu ma sun yi kama da bacin rai a cikin begen farauta har abada, har sai da “lafiya” su fito; ko menene ma'anar ma'anar "lafiya" mai canzawa ta yau da kullun ta kasance, kuma ko wane irin tsadar al'umma.
Ko da yake an gabatar mana da kulle-kulle a ranar a matsayin a faranta, wasun mu ba su da kau. Mun yi magana da abokanmu, iyalai, da abokan aikinmu kuma muka yi magana a kafafen sada zumunta, rubuta wasiku, yin zanga-zangar, yin duk abin da za mu iya don yin tunani, ilmantarwa, har ma da rokon wakilanmu na gida, shugabanni da masu ra'ayinmu da kar su ci gaba da bin wannan tafarki. Amma babu wani amfani. "Yi shiru," suka ce.
Mu ne kawai al'ada, bayan duk, kuma a lokacin akwai 'yan ainihin "masana" a gefenmu. An yi sa'a a gare mu, ɗayan waɗannan kaɗan shine John Ioannidis, likita da ake girmamawa sosai, masanin kimiyya, masanin kididdiga, masanin lissafi, farfesa na Stanford, kuma marubuci wanda ya shahara da ayyukansa a cikin-samu wannan-cututtukan cuta da kuma tushen shaida. Ioannidis ita ce cikakkiyar murya don tinkarar labarin martanin cutar COVID-19 da ya gudu.
Kuma magana ya yi. A ranar 17 ga Maris, 2020 Ioannidis ya buga labarin STAT mai ban tsoro "A fiasco a cikin yin? Kamar yadda cutar sankara ke kama, muna yanke shawara ba tare da ingantaccen bayanai ba." Ya yi tambaya da babbar murya abin da yawancin mu ke mamaki a sirri: shin wannan martanin lafiyar lafiyar jama'a zai zama "shaidar fiasco sau ɗaya a cikin ƙarni?"
A cikin labarinsa Ioannidis ya nuna cewa duk bayanan COVID har zuwa yau a zahiri "na da inganci sosai," kuma muna yin manyan yanke shawara yau da kullun bisa ga bayanan da ba su da haɗari. Ya kuma yi nuni da cewa yiwuwar mutuwa ga wadanda suka kamu da cutar (Infection Fatality Rate) dole ne ya yi kasa sosai fiye da abin ban dariya na kashi 3.4 na Case Fatality Rate (CFR) wanda WHO ta sanar a bainar jama'a; Ka'idar aikinsa kasancewar wasu mutane da yawa sun kamu da cutar ba tare da lura ba, ko kuma ba a gwada su ba.
Ioannidis 'ma'ana da ingantaccen dalili POV a cikin STAT sun yi takara daidai da labarin hukuma, kuma ya sami koma baya nan da nan daga "kafa." Alhamdu lillahi, John Ioannidis mutum ne mai jaruntaka da ba kasafai ba, don haka nan da nan ya yi watsi da 'yan sandan da ke ba da labari kuma ya mika kararsa kai tsaye ga shugaban kasa: Shugaba Donald J. Trump.
A cikin wasikar da ya aika zuwa fadar White House Ioannidis ya gargadi Trump da "rufe kasar na dogon lokaci da kuma jefa rayuka da yawa cikin yin hakan" kuma ya bukaci taron gaggawa don samarwa duk masu ruwa da tsaki a cikin Babban Ra'ayi ra'ayi na biyu da ake bukata, wanda aka gabatar daga "kwamiti daban-daban na manyan masana a duniya."
Wannan ita ce wasiƙarsa:
"Dr Ioannidis (bio da ke ƙasa) yana tattara gungun mashahuran masana kimiyya na duniya waɗanda za su iya ba da gudummawar basira don taimakawa wajen magance babban ƙalubalen COVID-19, ta hanyar ƙara yunƙurin fahimtar adadin mutanen da suka kamu da cutar (ya fi girma fiye da abin da aka rubuta a yau) da samun ilimin kimiyya- da bayanan bayanai, tsarin da aka yi niyya maimakon dakatar da rayuwa da yawa a cikin wannan ƙasa don dogon lokaci. gano hanya mafi kyau don ceton ƙarin rayuka da kuma guje wa mummunar lalacewa ga tattalin arzikin Amurka ta amfani da ingantaccen bayanai, tunda adadin kamuwa da cuta na iya kashewa da yawan adadin da aka rubuta a halin yanzu.
Kwamitin da aka tsara ya ƙunshi:
Jeffrey Klausner, MD MPH - Farfesa na Jama'a na Clinical da Kimiyyar Kiwon Lafiyar Jama'a a USC a halin yanzu (shine Farfesa a UCLA a cikin 2020).
Aikin Reingold - Farfesa na Epidemiology a Makarantar Kiwon Lafiyar Jama'a a Berkeley.
Jay Bhattacharya, MD, PhD - Farfesa na likitanci a Jami'ar Stanford, abokin bincike a Ofishin Bincike na Tattalin Arziki na Kasa.
James Fowler, PhD - Farfesa na Cututtuka da Lafiyar Jama'a na Duniya a UCSD
Sten H. Vermund, MD, PhD - Shugaban Makarantar Yale na Kiwon Lafiyar Jama'a (2017-2022)
David L. Katz, MD, MPH – wanda ya kafa Cibiyar Binciken Rigakafin Yale-Griffin ta Jami’ar Yale.
Michael Levitt, PhD - Wanda ya lashe kyautar Nobel, Farfesa na Tsarin Halittu a Stanford.
Daniel B. Jernigan, MD, MPH - Daraktan Sashen mura a Cibiyar Kula da Rigakafi da Cututtuka ta Kasa (NCIRD) a CDC.
A cikin ɗan gajeren sanarwa mai ban mamaki, Ioannidis ya sami nasarar tattara ƙungiyar mafarkin COVID na zahiri. Waɗannan masana kimiyya sun kasance ainihin ma'amala: ainihin "masana" bonafide a cikin shimfidar wuri na cosplayers da clout chasers.
Lokacin da na tambayi Ioannidis game da ƙoƙarinsa na tarihi don yin tattaunawa da Fadar White House da Task Force a cikin Maris 2020 ya amsa mini ta imel:
"Ƙoƙarin shine ƙirƙirar ƙungiya tare da manyan masana kimiyya a cikin cututtukan cututtuka, lafiyar jama'a, manufofin kiwon lafiya, kimiyyar jama'a, kimiyyar zamantakewa, cibiyoyin sadarwar jama'a, ƙirar lissafi, kiwon lafiya, tattalin arziki, da cututtukan numfashi. Muna son taimakawa jagoranci da Ƙungiyar Task Force. Task Force yana da ƙwararrun masana kimiyya na duniya kamar Fauci, Redfield, da kuma Birx, amma ba su rufe takamaiman yankunan ba. "
Don wannan, John Ioannidis ba kawai ya zaɓi sunaye daga hula ba, ya tsara wannan rukunin don mafi girman tasiri. Wannan ba ƙungiya ce mai hazaka kaɗai ba, ƙungiya ce mai banbanci. Ba duka ba su yarda kan abin da ya kamata ya zama martani ga COVID ba, ko dai. Amma a cikin sha'awar wakilcin dukkan kusurwoyi da ra'ayoyi da aminci, Ioannidis ya dage cewa sun shiga. A zahiri Ioannidis ne ya dauki Reinhold da Vermund daidai saboda ba su yarda da shi kan yadda za a tafiyar da al’amura ba, kuma babu daya daga cikin takwas din da ya kasance dan siyasa. Duk da cin zarafi akasin haka.
"Ba ni da cikakkiyar masaniya game da abin da membobin ƙungiyar suka zaɓa!
Tunanin taron gaggawa na fadar White House irin wannan ya kasance mai tsatsauran ra'ayi domin a lokacin duk wata tattaunawa da aka saba yi ana daukar ta haramun ne. Amma kullewa shine mafi mahimmancin shawarar lafiyar jama'a a cikin tarihin ɗan adam na zamani: wanda zai iya shafar makomar duniyar gaba ɗaya. Don haka me zai hana ba za ku ɗauki ɗan lokaci don yin magana ba, tare da wasu mafi wayo da ƙwararrun mutane a duniyarmu, kuma ku tabbata mun yanke shawara daidai?
Tun daga ranar 24 ga Maris, 2020 an daidaita kalandar kuma wannan babban taron ya zama kamar "tafi."
"Buƙatar ta shiga bisa hukuma, ana jiran ji..."
Sannan… babu komai.
Shiru Rediyo.
A ƙarshe, a ranar 28 ga Maris Ioannidis ya aika imel da ƙungiyar:
“Sake: ganawa da Shugaban kasa a DC Na ci gaba da yin tambaya / sanya matsin lamba, ina tsammanin ra'ayoyinmu sun shiga Fadar White House ba tare da la'akari da hakan ba, ina fatan samun ƙarin labarai ranar Litinin. ”…
Ko da yake Stephanie M. Lee na Buzzfeed News ya ce wannan ita ce hanyar Ioannidis na iƙirarin nasara, lokacin da aka tambaye shi game da hakan, yana son ya fayyace:
"Ni kaina na yi ba'a a nan, saboda a fili yake cewa ba a jin mu ba, kuma sauran mutanen da ke cikin tawagar sun yi ba'a kan cewa shawararmu ta bugi bango kuma ta birkice."
Don haka me ya faru tsakanin Maris 24 da Maris 28? Ta yaya wannan taron mai tarihi ya tafi daga "a kan" zuwa "Oh, kada ku damu?"
Me a duniya zai iya nuke shi?
Ko… waye?
"Da farko na yi magana da kaina da wani mutum a Fadar White House, babu bukatar a haifar da matsala ga mutumin ta hanyar sanya suna, na yi imanin cewa mutumin ya yi kokari sosai, ko da bai yi tasiri ba. Ban sani ba ko sakon ya isa ga Trump ko a'a, kuma ba ni da masaniyar wanda ya soke taron da kuma dalilin da ya sa ya zama banza."
Amsa mara kyau na iya zama kawai cewa "Shit ya faru." Bayan haka, mutane suna soke tarurrukan ko da yaushe, musamman shugabannin da masu gudanar da su a tsakiyar rikicin siyasa da lafiyar jama'a.
Amma kuma za a iya soke taron saboda wasu dalilai da dama, musamman na siyasa, kuma a hakika akwai wasu muhimman abubuwan da suka faru a cikin wadannan muhimman kwanaki 4 masu ratar da suka yi tasiri:
Maris 24, 2020 Trump ya yi gunaguni da shahararren cizon sa na "Bude ta Ista" a cikin wata hira da ya yi da Fox's Bill Hemmer. Wanne, abin sha'awa, galibi yana rikicewa tare da Trump yana son buɗewa "da wuri," lokacin da a zahiri Ista 2020 ya sauka a ranar 15 ga Afrilu: cikakkun kwanaki 15 da suka wuce ƙarshen alƙawarin na farkon "kwanaki 15." Don haka a zahiri Trump ya riga ya yi alkawarin tsawaita kulle-kullen:
TRUMP: ... Ina so a bude ta Easter. Lafiya?
HEMMER: Oh, wayyo. Lafiya.
TRUMP: Ina so a buɗe shi kafin Easter. Zan - Zan gaya muku haka a yanzu. Ina son samun wannan - wannan rana ce mai mahimmanci don wasu dalilai, amma zan mai da ita muhimmiyar rana ga wannan kuma. Ina son a buɗe ƙasar kuma kawai a yi tseren zuwa Easter.
HEMMER: Wato 12 ga Afrilu. Don haka za mu duba mu ga abin da ya faru.
TRUMP: Na gode.
Hakanan akan Maris 24, 2020 Indiya a hukumance ta ayyana dokar hana fita ta kasa na tsawon kwanaki 21, wanda ya fi tsawon kwanaki 15 na mu, kuma kullewar su zai shafi sama da mutane biliyan 1.3 sabanin 'yan miliyan dari na mu. An tsara wannan a matsayin "Indiya tana ɗaukar COVID sosai," ba shakka.
On Maris 25th, 2020 Majalisar dattijan Amurka ta zartar da dokar CARES, wani kudiri na tattalin arziki dala tiriliyan 2.2 wanda ya yi alƙawarin kai tsaye ga mutanen da abin ya shafa, kasuwanci, makarantu da asibitoci kuma ba za a taɓa taɓa yin ɓarna, ɓarna, ko sace ta hanyar rijiyoyi ba.
Yarima Charles ya gwada inganci don COVID-19 on Maris 25th, 2020 haka nan. Kuma ya mutu. A'a, jira, mummuna, ya sami alamu masu laushi kuma ya ware kansa tare da bayi a gidansa a Scotland.
On Maris 26, 2020 manyan abubuwa uku masu kyau sun faru. Na daya, Ma'aikatar Kwadago ta Amurka ta ba da rahoton cewa mutane miliyan 3.3 ne suka shigar da kara don neman fa'idodin rashin aikin yi, wanda ya zama mafi girman adadin da'awar rashin aikin yi na farko a tarihin Amurka a lokacin. Babban labari ne a lokacin. Amma me kuma ya faru akan Maris 26, 2020 shi ne cewa Amurka ta zama "kasa da aka tabbatar da shari'ar COVID," bisa hukuma ta zarce China da Italiya don wannan babban matsayi.
Maris 26, 2020 Hakanan ya nuna babban taron WHO na "Taron Shugabanni na Musamman kan COVID-19" inda Darakta-Janar na Hukumar Lafiya ta Duniya Tedros ya sanar:
"Muna yaki da kwayar cutar da ke barazanar wargaza mu - idan muka kyale ta. Kusan mutane rabin miliyan sun rigaya sun kamu da cutar, kuma fiye da 20,000 sun rasa rayukansu. Barkewar cutar tana ci gaba da sauri… Hanyar da za ta kare rayuwa, rayuwa da tattalin arziki ita ce dakatar da kwayar cutar… Yawancin kasashenku sun sanya tsauraran matakan tsaro na zamantakewa da tattalin arziki, rufe makarantu da kasuwanci, tare da neman mutane su zauna a gida.
Shin ɗayan waɗannan abubuwan da suka faru sun iya sa sansanin Trump ya ce, "Muna da kyau. Na gode da tayin ko ta yaya, 'yan wasa?"
Wanene ya sani.
Amma bayani na gaba ya fi ban sha'awa, kuma ya fi rikitarwa: shin akwai wani a cikin ko kusa da Fadar White House wanda ya sanya kibosh akan wannan abu? Shin Fauci da/ko Birx sun shawo kan Kushner ya gaya wa Meadows ya gaya wa Trump ya gaya wa sakatarensa ya kawo karshen taron?
Hmmmm. Idan da akwai hanyar gano wannan.
"Hakika, ni ne farkon wanda zai so sanin abin da ya faru!"
A cikin labarin BuzzFeed da aka ambata "Rukunin Masana kimiyyar Kimiyya sun yi ƙoƙarin gargadin Trump game da kulle-kulle a cikin MarisMarubuciya Stephanie Lee ta gabatar da wasu zaɓaɓɓun imel ɗin “samuwa” kawai, don yin shari'arta.
Don haka na “samu” imel iri ɗaya ta hanyar FOIA zuwa jami'o'in jama'a, kuma, da gaske, babu wani abu a cikin waɗancan imel ɗin sama da gungun abokan zaman mutunta juna da ke ƙoƙarin daidaitawa da ba da gudummawa ga wannan bala'i na ƙasa; wadannan duk mutane ne masu tsananin kokarin yin abin da ya dace ga kasa, da kuma duniya. Sun so kawai taimako.
Ga abin da ya dace, waɗannan imel ɗin faifan lokaci ne mai ban mamaki da ke tattara abubuwan da suka faru da kuma abubuwan da suka faru na wancan muhimmin lokacin, kuma an gabatar da su a nan, gaba ɗaya. Duk abin da ya sa aka soke wannan taro mai mahimmanci, yanzu ya bayyana sarai cewa zai kasance. m ya yi wannan taron.
Domin ko da a ƙarƙashin mafi kyawun ma'anar "kulle" halayen lafiyar jama'a game da COVID babban kuskure ne. Babban gazawa mai ban tsoro, dangane da kowane ma'aunin tsaka tsaki. Makulli ya gaza kan dakatar da kwayar cutar, ya gaza kan sakamakon kiwon lafiya gaba daya, ya gaza kan tattalin arzikin, ya gaza kan “adalci,” ya gaza yaranmu kuma watakila a zahiri ya gaza ka'idodinmu. A nan gaba za a sami sassan ɗakunan karatu gabaɗaya da aka keɓe don ɓarnawar da waɗannan firgita suka haifar, yanke shawara na kiwon lafiyar jama'a. Hukunce-hukuncen da suka kasance tilasta a kan mu, ba tare da ma da yawa kamar yadda za a nuna kuri'a.
Mafi ƙarancin tattaunawa mai kyau. Kuma da abin da wannan taron zai kasance: tattaunawa. Dama don fallasa Jagoran Duniyar 'Yanci ga wani daban kuma m saitin dabaru kan yadda za a magance cutar ta COVID-19. Gaskiyar ita ce, a cikin mako na uku na Maris 2020, an hana mu duka ba tare da haƙƙin haƙƙin haƙƙin ɗan adam ba: ingantaccen ra'ayi na biyu.
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Erich Hartmann darektan kirkire-kirkire ne wanda ya lashe lambar yabo, marubuci kuma mai gabatarwa, farkon anti-LockDown da #OpenSchools masu ba da shawara kuma memba mai girman kai wanda ya kafa Reality Team.
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