Soke abin da Trump ya kira "gano haɗarin da ake fuskanta" dangane da CO2 da Fadar White House ta Obama ta yi a shekarar 2009 yana da matuƙar muhimmanci domin ya rama tarin kuɗaɗen da Trump ya kashe, rancen da ya yi, kuɗin da ya kashe, da kuma kuɗin da ya kashe. Daga cikin wasu da ba a iya lissafawa ba.
Duk wani ra'ayi da ke cewa wayewar masana'antu bisa ga burbushin man fetur na barazanar tafasa duniya a raye abu ne mai ban tsoro. A gaskiya ma, kamar yadda muka sake bayyana a ƙasa, tarihin ƙasa da yanayin duniya ya karyata maganar banza ta Rikicin Yanayi, wanda hakan ke nuna cewa akwai wani ƙarfi da ya fi muni fiye da kuskuren manufofi kawai.
A gaskiya ma, duk wani labari na Crisis Crisis Hoax na ƙarya ne da aka ƙera da gangan, wanda ya samo asali daga matsayin siyasa na dindindin da kuma sunan aiki da ke zaune a Washington, Majalisar Dinkin Duniya, London, da Brussels. Manufarsu a bayyane take: Wato, yaɗa cikakken gestalt ya ta'allaka ne akan barazanar wanzuwar rayuwa ga rayuwar duniya, wanda hakan ke haifar da faɗaɗa ikon gwamnati cikin gaggawa don mamaye da maye gurbin ƙa'idodi da salon rayuwar masana'antarmu da ke tushen burbushin mai da kuma salon rayuwa mai tushe a kasuwa da wadata da take bayarwa.
A takaice dai, an bayyana cewa, Hoax na Canjin Yanayi shi ne mafi girman kama-karya ga ikon gwamnati a tarihin ɗan adam har zuwa yau (mai yiwuwa an wuce shi ne kawai ta hanyar yunƙurin zamanin Covid na iko da masarautar ƙwayoyin cuta). Kuma, yanzu, wataƙila ba tare da wani ganganci ba fiye da na makaho mai kama da wannan ƙaryar, Trump ya yi kakkausar suka ga dukkan wannan ƙarya mai barazana ga wadata. Ba wai kawai tsarin kula da makamashi mai kore da tsarin tallafi da aka dogara da shi kan gano haɗarin Obama zai faɗi cikin sauri ba, har ma da dukkan addinin banza na zargin ɗan adam da aikata zunubi a duniya zai kasance a shirye don karyata gaskiya a karon farko cikin shekaru talatin.
Wataƙila zai ɗauki shekara ɗaya ko biyu, ko ma shekaru goma ko fiye, amma "kimiyya" ta bogi da tattalin arziki mai ban mamaki waɗanda aka gina su a kan zamba ta yanayi za su rikide su zama tarin farfaganda marasa tushe da kuma sihiri na zamani. Tare da wasu sa'a da jagoranci daga masu adawa da gwamnati, masana'antu, kimiyya, da kuma tattaunawar jama'a, za mu iya amfana da wata cuta ta "ba za ta sake faruwa ba" a siyasar ƙasarmu wadda za ta iya hana masu kididdiga yin tasiri na tsawon shekaru akalla.
Saboda haka, Perforce, ya kamata a fitar da tatsuniyoyi na asali game da zamba na Climate Crisis domin a rubuta cewa labarin gaba ɗaya ƙarya ne kuma ƙarya ne. Gaskiyar magana ita ce, yanayin duniyar ba shi da nisa da haɗarin ƙona man fetur ko wasu ayyukan ɗan adam waɗanda ke sa rayuwar zamani ta fi daɗi da jurewa.
Da farko dai, babu wani abu da ya taɓa faruwa a duniya!
Abin da ya faru shi ne shekaru biliyan 4.5 na juyin halittar ƙasa mai cike da girgiza da kuma yawan tashin hankali da kuma rashin daidaiton yanayi sakamakon dalilai daban-daban na halitta, ciki har da:
- Tsarin tectonics wanda wani lokacin ya yi tasiri sosai ga tsarin yanayi, musamman haɗuwa da wargajewar Pangea tsakanin shekaru miliyan 300 zuwa miliyan 175 da suka gabata da kuma ci gaba da yaɗuwar nahiyoyi na yanzu bayan haka.
- Jiragen sama masu saukar ungulu lokaci-lokaci.
- Zagayen shekaru 100,000 na yanayin kewayen duniya (yana yin sanyi idan ya kai matsakaicin tsayi).
- Zagayen duniya na shekaru 41,000 suna karkata a kan axis ɗinta, wanda ke juyawa tsakanin digiri 22.1 da 24.5 kuma hakan yana shafar matakin shan hasken rana.
- Juyawa ko raguwar juyawar duniya wanda ke shafar yanayi a tsawon zagayowarta na shekaru 26,000.
- Kwanan nan, zagayowar glaciation na shekaru 150,000 da ɗumamar yanayi tsakanin ƙanƙara.
- Zagayen tabon rana na shekaru 1,500, inda zafin duniya ke raguwa sosai a lokacin ƙarancin hasken rana kamar Maunder Minimum na 1645-1715, wanda ya faru a ƙarshen LIA lokacin da ayyukan tabon rana suka ƙare.
Saboda haka, sauyin yanayi na halitta da ake samu yanzu ya samo asali ne daga waɗannan ƙarfin duniyoyi masu ƙarfi - waɗanda suka daɗe kafin zamanin masana'antu kuma waɗanda suka fi tasirin hayakin da ke fitowa daga zamanin masana'antu. Don haka gaskiyar cewa haɗuwar waɗannan ƙarfin a yanzu ya haifar da zagayowar ɗumamawa mai ƙanƙanta ba sabon abu ba ne - ɗumamawa ta faru akai-akai har ma a zamanin yau.
Don haka muna buƙatar fara da mafi mahimmancin zamanin sauyin yanayi wanda ya shafi shekaru miliyan 600 da suka gabata - lokacin bayan duniyar ta ɗauki muhimman abubuwan da ke cikin yanayinta na yanzu. Gaskiyar magana ita ce, tun daga abin da ake kira fashewar Cambrian (shekaru miliyan 530 da suka wuce) zuwa gaba, duniya ba ta taɓa kasancewa kamar yadda take ba. sanyikamar yadda yake a yanzu; kuma kusan ba a taɓa yin hakan ba kamar yadda yake a yanzu low Yawan CO2 a matsayin matakin 420 ppm wanda Climate Howlers na yau ke musantawa.
A takaice dai, bil'adama da al'ummar masana'antu suna cikin yanayi mai sanyi na zagayowar yanayi ta tarihi, ba a kan wani irin mummunan bala'i mai zafi ba.
Saboda haka, bisa ga sake fasalin masana kimiyyar duniya da aka yi a hankali bisa la'akari da laka na teku, tsakiyar kankara, zoben bishiyoyi, da makamantansu, akwai lokatai biyu kacal da suka ƙunshi kimanin shekaru miliyan 75 ko fiye. 13 Kashi ɗaya cikin ɗari na tsawon shekaru miliyan 600 inda yanayin zafi da yawan CO2 ke ƙaruwa sun yi ƙasa kamar yadda suke a yanzu. Waɗannan lokutan sanyi/ƙananan CO2 sune:
- Lokacin Karboniferous/Farkon Permian daga shekaru miliyan 315 zuwa 270 da suka gabata, wanda ke tsakiya daidai da alamar shekaru miliyan 300 da suka gabata a cikin jadawalin da ke ƙasa.
- Zamanin Quaternary a gefen dama na lokacin jami'a wanda aka nuna a kore, wanda ya karbi bakuncin mutanen zamani daga shekaru miliyan 2.6 da suka gabata zuwa yanzu.
Saboda haka, za ka iya cewa, yiwuwar yanayi mai dumi da wadata a CO2 ba sabon abu ba ne: a zahiri dai batun duniya ne "Na kasance a can, na yi hakan, kusan har abada!"
Kuma tabbas ba dalili ba ne na wargaza da kuma lalata tsarin makamashi mai rahusa wanda shine tushen wadatar da ba a taɓa gani ba a yau da kuma kubuta daga talauci da fatara.
Amma wannan ba rabinsa ba ne. Abin da ke tsakiyar yanayin dumi na zamaninmu shine tazara tsakanin shekaru miliyan 220 daga shekaru miliyan 250 da suka gabata zuwa yanzu. sake yin kankara An gano cewa Antarctica ta kai kimanin shekaru miliyan 33 da suka gabata yana da ɗumi sosai har ya zama babu ƙanƙara.
Kamar yadda layin shuɗi a cikin jadawalin ya nuna a mafi yawan wannan lokacin (wanda aka nuna a cikin bangarorin launin ruwan kasa), yanayin zafi ya kai har zuwa 12 digiri C sama da fiye da a yanzu kuma Uwar Duniya ba ta damu da gaskiyar cewa ba ta da murafin kankara na polar ko kuma mazaunin da ya dace da beyar polar da ba su taɓa canzawa ba tukuna!
Zafin Duniya da Yanayi na CO2 a Lokacin Kasa
Kamar yadda ya faru, a lokacin da aka sanya wa zamanin Mesozoic duniya ta shagaltu da wani babban aiki. Wato, yin gishiri a cikin tarin kwal, mai, da iskar gas waɗanda ke ƙarfafa tattalin arzikin zamani kuma suna ba biliyoyin mutane damar samun yanayin rayuwa da sarakuna kawai ke morewa a ƙarni da suka gabata.
Babu wani sirri game da yadda wannan kyauta mai ban mamaki ga ɗan adam na yau ta faru. A cikin duniyar da babu ƙanƙara da dusar ƙanƙara, tekuna suna cikin matsayi mafi girma (watau ɗaruruwan ƙafa sama da matakin yanzu) kuma sun mamaye yawancin ƙasar, wanda ke cike da tsirrai da dabbobi saboda yanayin zafi mai zafi da kuma yawan ruwan sama.
Misali, da mun rubuta wannan sakon daga gidanmu da ke Miami a wancan lokacin, da mun buƙaci jirgin ruwa ko kuma rigar ruwa don kammala rubutunmu.
An faɗi daban, Uwar Halitta tana tara makamashin rana mai yawa ta hanyar amfani da tsirrai da dabbobi masu ɗauke da sinadarin carbon, wanda hakan ya haifar da tarin manyan kwaruruka masu faɗi a cikin ƙasa.
Yayin da faranti na tectonic suka canza (watau nahiyar Pangea guda ɗaya ta wargaje zuwa faranti na zamani na nahiyar tun daga kimanin shekaru miliyan 200 da suka gabata) kuma yanayin ya yi ta juyawa, waɗannan ma'adinan da ke ƙarƙashin ƙasa sun binne a ƙarƙashin tekuna marasa zurfi. Kuma da wucewar lokaci, zafi, da matsin lamba, an mayar da su zuwa ma'adinan hydrocarbon waɗanda ke cikin farkon ƙafa 50,000 (aƙalla) na ɓawon duniya.
Pangaea Kafin Rushewarta Shekaru Miliyan 200 Da Suka Gabata
A fannin kwal, mafi kyawun yanayi don samuwarsa ya faru ne shekaru miliyan 360 zuwa 290 da suka gabata a lokacin Carboniferous ("mai ɗauke da kwal"). Duk da haka, ƙananan adadi sun ci gaba da samuwa a wasu sassan Duniya a lokutan da suka biyo baya, musamman zamanin Permian (shekaru miliyan 290 zuwa miliyan 250 da suka wuce) da kuma a duk tsawon zamanin Mesozoic (har zuwa shekaru miliyan 66 da suka gabata).
Haka kuma, samuwar ma'adanan mai ya fara ne a cikin tekuna masu ɗumi, inda matattun abubuwa masu rai ke faɗowa ƙasan teku. zooplankton (dabbobi) da kuma phytoplankton (shuke-shuke) waɗanda aka gauraya da kayan da ba na halitta ba suka shiga teku ta hanyar koguna. Waɗannan lakaran da ke kan benen teku ne suka samar da yashi mai yayin da aka binne su a lokacin zafi da matsin lamba na tsawon lokaci. Wato, kuzarin da ke cikin man fetur ya fara fitowa ne daga hasken rana wanda ya makale a cikin sinadari a cikin plankton da ya mutu.
Bugu da ƙari, ilimin da ke bayan wannan ba batun hasashe ne na kujerar hannu ta ilimi ba ne saboda kawai dalilin da ya sa aka yi hakan an tabbatar da shi sosai a kasuwar kasuwanci ta yanzu.
Wato, an yi amfani da tiriliyan daloli a ƙarni na ƙarshe wajen neman hydrocarbons, bisa ga binciken injiniyan mai mai rikitarwa, ka'idar binciken halittu, da kuma samfuran ƙasa. Masu haƙa mai ba sa jefa kibiya a kan bangon mai farautar daji, amma sun tabbatar da cewa kimiyyar waɗannan "gaskiyar" tarihin yanayi daidai ne, ganin cewa sun haifar da gano da kuma haƙo tiriliyan da yawa na BOEs (ganga mai daidai da mai).
Saboda haka, kwararru a fannin masana'antu sun kiyasta cewa an samar da ma'adanan man fetur na yau kamar haka:
- Kimanin kashi 70 cikin 100 a zamanin Mesozoic (bangarorin launin ruwan kasa, shekaru miliyan 252 zuwa 66 da suka wuce) wanda yanayi mai zafi ya yi kama da shi, tare da adadi mai yawa na plankton a cikin tekuna;
- An samar da kashi 20 cikin 100 a zamanin Cenozoic (shekaru miliyan 65 da suka gabata) wanda ya kasance mai saurin busarwa da sanyaya;
- An samar da kashi 10 cikin 100 a zamanin Paleozoic da ya gabata (shekaru miliyan 541 zuwa 252 da suka wuce).
Hakika, a ƙarshe, injiniyan mai ya samo asali ne daga "kimiyyar yanayi" ta gaske domin yanayi ne ya samar da waɗannan ma'adinan hydrocarbon masu daraja a fannin tattalin arziki.
Kuma kimiyya ce mai ban mamaki. Bayan haka, an tura biliyoyin daloli a cikin ramukan rijiyoyin ruwa a cikin ruwan teku har zuwa mil biyu da kuma laka mai tsawon ƙafa 40,000 a ƙasa, wanda hakan ya nuna cewa an yi bincike mai zurfi don nemo allurar mai a cikin tarin ciyawar ƙasa.
Misali, Zamanin Cretaceous daga shekaru miliyan 145 zuwa miliyan 66 da suka gabata, wanda ya kasance mai yawan amfani ga samuwar mai, lokaci ne mai yanayi mai dumi, wanda ya haifar da manyan matakan tekuna da kuma tekuna marasa zurfi da yawa. Waɗannan tekuna da tekuna sun cika da dabbobi masu rarrafe na ruwa da suka mutu, ammoniya, da kuma rudist, yayin da dinosaur suka ci gaba da mamaye ƙasa. Kuma sanin wannan kimiyya ne ke ba da damar samun allurar hydrocarbon mai ganga biliyan da yawa a cikin zurfin duniya.
Ba sai an faɗa ba, yanayin ya yi zafi sosai a lokacin Cretaceous, inda ya tashi da kimanin digiri 8 na Celsius kuma daga ƙarshe ya kai matakin digiri 10 na Celsius fiye da na yau (watau kimanin digiri 25 na Celsius idan aka kwatanta da duniyar da ake zargin ta yi zafi a yau a digiri 15 na Celsius). Wato, a jajibirin Babban Bala'in da ke haifar da asteroid shekaru miliyan 66 da suka gabata, duniyar Duniya ta fi zafi sosai kuma ta fi wadata da carbon fiye da kowace samfurin "bala'i" da Climate Howlers ke bayarwa a yanzu.
Kamar yadda aka nuna a jadawalin da ke ƙasa, a lokacin babu wani murfin kankara a kowane sandar kuma Pangea har yanzu tana wargajewa a kan madaurin. Don haka babu tsarin jigilar kaya na teku da ke zagayawa a cikin babban Tekun Atlantika.
Duk da haka, a lokacin Cretaceous, matakan CO2 sun faɗi ƙasa yayin da yanayin zafi ke ƙaruwa sosai. Wannan ya saba wa ikirarin Climate Alerms cewa yana ƙaruwar yawan CO2 wanda a halin yanzu ke tilasta wa yanayin zafi a duniya ya ƙaru.
Bugu da ƙari, ba muna magana ne game da raguwar yawan CO2 a cikin sararin samaniya ba. A lokacin wannan yanayi mai dumi na shekaru miliyan 80, matakan CO2 sun faɗi sosai daga kusan ppm 2,000 zuwa ppm 900. Wannan duk yana da kyau ga samuwar hydrocarbon da kuma wadatar aikin adana yanayi na yau, amma kuma wani abu ne da ya fi haka.
A takaice dai, wata shaida ce cewa yanayin duniya ya fi rikitarwa kuma yana ɗauke da kwararar ruwa fiye da yadda ake amfani da madaidaitan madaukai masu sauƙin fahimta waɗanda ake amfani da su yanzu don yin koyi da yanayin yanayi na gaba daga yanayin zafi mai ƙarancin zafi da matakan CO2.
Kamar yadda ya faru, a cikin lokutan tun bayan Babban Bala'in da ya faru shekaru miliyan 66 da suka gabata, duka ƙwayoyin cuta biyu sun ci gaba da faɗuwa: matakan CO2 sun ci gaba da faɗuwa zuwa 300-400 ppm na zamanin yau, yayin da yanayin zafi ya sake faɗuwa zuwa 10 digiri Celsius.
Tabbas yana ɗaya daga cikin manyan abubuwan mamaki na zamaninmu cewa ana gudanar da yaƙin neman zaɓe na yau da kullun akan man fetur na burbushin halittu ba tare da la'akari da tarihin ƙasa ba, wanda duka ya saɓa wa dukkan yanayin "ɗumama yanayi" da yawan CO2, kuma ya sa matakan amfani da makamashin burbushin halittu da ingancinsa suka yiwu.
Wato, babban, mai dumi, kuma mai danshi (Mesozoic) ya kawo mu nan. Ɗumamar yanayi ta gaskiya ba wauta ce ta yanzu da ta nan gaba ta ɗan adam ba, amma abin da ke taimakawa wajen samun albarkar tattalin arziki ta yau da kullum.
Duk da haka, a shekarar 2026, har yanzu ana kira da mu mai da hankali kan rage hayaki mai gurbata muhalli zuwa matakan da ake buƙata don hana yanayin zafi na duniya ya tashi sama da yadda aka zata.1.5 digiri Celsius daga digiri matakan kafin masana'antuWannan ra'ayin abin dariya ne, amma wataƙila bugun da Donald ya yi a kan wannan barkewar sihiri na zamani wanda ake yi a matsayin "kimiyya" a ƙarshe zai nuna cewa sarkinmu na akida a da ya gabata tsirara ne.
A maimaita, duk wannan zamba ta dogara ne akan ƙaramin ɓangare na ƙaruwar zafin jiki da aka rubuta a baya na ilimin ƙasa. Kuma, ban da haka, ainihin wane matakin kafin masana'antu ne masu faɗakarwa suka ambata a zahiri? Za mu yi magana game da juyin halitta na baya-bayan nan, gami da ɗumamar yanayi da ƙaramin zamanin ƙanƙara a ƙasa, amma ya isa a faɗi cewa wannan jadawalin yana nuna kimiyyar ƙasa da aka yarda da ita sosai. Duk da haka, muna cikin mawuyacin hali - ko da tare da taimakon gilashin ƙara girma - don ganin kowane lokaci a cikin shekaru miliyan 66 da suka gabata inda yanayin zafi na duniya bai fi 1.5 Celsius sama da matakan yanzu ba. Kuma wannan ya haɗa da yawancin gefen dama mai suna "PleistoceneIce Age"na shekaru miliyan 2.6 da suka gabata."
Idan ba a yi wa kwakwalwarka bayani game da sauyin yanayi ba, to kalmar nan tana ƙara ƙarfi sosai. Wannan kuwa saboda akwai lokutan "zamanin kankara" guda 20 daban-daban da kuma lokutan ɗumama tsakanin ƙanƙara a lokacin Pleistocene Epoch, wanda na ƙarshe ya ƙare kimanin shekaru 18,000 da suka gabata kuma daga nan muke ci gaba da bincike.
Ba shakka, hawan da ya yi daga dusar ƙanƙara da ke ja da baya a Michigan, New England, Arewacin Turai, Siberia, da sauransu zuwa yanayin zafi da ya fi karimci bai kasance mai ci gaba ba, amma jerin ci gaba da ja da baya ne. Don haka, ana kyautata zaton cewa ya yi zafi sosai har zuwa kimanin shekaru 13,000 da suka gabata, wanda ci gaban ya katse ta hanyar Younger Dryas, inda yanayi ya fara bushewa da sanyi sosai kuma ya sa murabba'in kankara na polar ya sake faɗaɗa kuma matakan teku suka ragu da sama da ƙafa 100 yayin da aka sake ɗaukar ƙarin adadin ruwan da aka ƙayyade a duniya cikin tarin kankara.
Bayan kimanin shekaru 2,000 na ja da baya, amma ba tare da taimakon mutanen da suka tsira daga rayuwa a cikin kogo a lokacin Ƙananan Dryas ba, tsarin yanayi ya dawo da yanayin ɗumamar yanayi cikin sauri. A lokacin da kimiyya ta kira Holocene Optimum kimanin shekaru 8,000 da suka gabata, yanayin zafi na duniya ya tashi sama da 2000. Digiri 3 na C a matsakaici kuma har zuwa digiri 10 na Celsius a cikin manyan latitudes. Gabaɗaya, yanayin zafi da ya haifar a duniyar ya fi yadda yake a yau.
Kuma hakan ya faru cikin sauri. Wani bincike da aka yi wa nazari kan takwarorinsa ya nuna cewa a wasu sassan yanayin zafi na Greenland ya tashi da digiri 10 na Celsius (digiri 18 na Fahrenheit) a cikin shekaru goma. A zahiri, masana kimiyya sun yi imanin cewa a duk duniya rabin farfadowa daga yanayin "zamanin kankara" na Younger Dryas ya faru ne cikin shekaru 15 kacal. Kankara ta narke, matakin teku ya tashi, dazuzzuka sun faɗaɗa, bishiyoyi sun maye gurbin ciyawa, kuma ciyawa ta maye gurbin hamada—duk da rashin kyawun yanayi.
Amma ba kamar yadda ake gani a yanzu ba, a bayyane yake cewa Mother Nature ba ta yi nasara a wani yanayi na tashin kiyama ba, kuma ba tare da Greta ta yi wani abu ba. A zahiri, Greenland ta daskare ta kuma narke sau da yawa bayan haka.
Shekaru 8,000 da suka gabata, Holocene ba shine tushen "kafin masana'antu" ba wanda Climate Howlers ke nuna sandunan hockey na ƙarya. A gaskiya ma, wasu bincike sun nuna cewa ko a yankin Arctic, akwai ɗumi sosai, duk da cewa akwai yawan beyar polar masu lafiya.
Don haka, daga cikin wurare 140 da aka yi nazari a kansu a fadin yammacin Arctic, akwai shaida bayyananniya game da yanayin da aka yi amfani da shi wajen tantance ... ake ciki. ɗumi fiye da yanzu a wurare 120A wurare 16 da aka samu kimantawa mai yawa, yanayin zafi na gida ya fi digiri 1.6 na Celsius a lokacin mafi kyau fiye da yadda yake a yau.
Ka ce abin da?
Shin ba haka lamarin yake ba a sama da matakin +1.6 na Climate wanda ya sa Climate Howlers ke barazanar kashe hasken wadata?
Koma dai mene ne, abin da ya faru ya fi amfani. A takaice dai, Holocene Optimum mai dumi da danshi da kuma sakamakonsa sun haifar da manyan wayewar koguna shekaru 5,000 da suka gabata, ciki har da Kogin Rawaya a China, Kogin Indus a yankin Indiya, Tigris-Euphrates, da kuma wayewar Kogin Nilu daga cikin mafi shahara.
An faɗi daban, cewa +1.6 digiri C (hawan sama daga Ƙananan Dryas) yana nuna ƙarfin da ke haifar da yanayi wanda ya sa duniyar yau ta yiwu. Daga yawan wayewar kogin, an biyo bayan doguwar tafiyar noma da wadatar tattalin arziki da ta ba birane damar karatu da rubutu, kasuwanci da ƙwarewa, ci gaban kayan aiki, da fasaha da masana'antar zamani - na ƙarshe shine mafi kyawun tserewa daga rayuwa bisa ga tsokoki na baya na mutum da dabbobinsa na gida kawai.
A ƙarshe, neman haɓaka yawan amfanin masana'antu ya haifar da neman makamashi mai rahusa. Saboda haka, ci gaban ilimi, kimiyya, da fasaha da suka fito daga waɗannan wayewar sun haifar da haɓakar tattalin arziki mai amfani da man fetur bisa ga kamfanonin makamashi waɗanda ke tattara BTUs masu ƙarfi da adanawa waɗanda Uwar Halitta ta kama a lokacin dogon lokacin zafi da danshi na duniya.
A takaice dai, abin da ke ƙarfafa wadata shine "aiki" mafi inganci, kamar ɗaukar tan na kaya da mil ɗaya ko canza kilogiram na bauxite zuwa alumina ko dafa abinci na wata ɗaya. Abin takaici, a cikin shekaru miliyan 230 da suka gabata na Mesozoic, duniyar kanta ta cimma ɗaya daga cikin manyan ayyukan "aiki" da aka taɓa sani: Wato, canza yawan makamashin rana mai yaɗuwa zuwa fakitin BTU masu yawa da ke cikin kwal, mai, da mai mai tushen iskar gas.
Wannan yawan BTUs ɗin ya kai ga aiki kyauta, wanda mutanen zamani za su iya amfani da shi kawai don kuɗin cirewa da ƙonawa.
Koma dai mene ne, tsarin sauyin yanayi na halitta da ake gudanarwa yanzu ya kasance sakamakon ƙarfin duniyoyi masu ƙarfi waɗanda suka daɗe kafin zamanin masana'antu kuma waɗanda suka wuce tasirin hayakin da ake fitarwa a zamanin masana'antu. Don haka gaskiyar cewa haɗuwar waɗannan ƙarfin a yanzu ya haifar da zagayowar ɗumama ba sabon abu ba ne—ɗumama yanayi ya faru akai-akai har ma a zamanin yau.
Waɗannan ɗumamar yanayi na zamani sun haɗa da Holocene Climate Optimum da aka tattauna a baya (5000 zuwa 3000 BC); Minoan Age (2000-1450 BC), ɗumamar Romawa (200 BC zuwa 500 AD); da kuma kwanan nan Zamanin Dumama na Tsakiya (1000-1300 AD).
Sabanin ikirarin karya na Climate Howlers da kuma goyon bayan Trump na "gano haɗarin da Barry ya gano:"
- Yanayin zafi mai ɗan ƙaruwa a yanzu ya yi daidai da gaskiyar tarihi cewa ɗumi ya fi kyau ga ɗan adam da sauran nau'ikan halittu;
- Ci gaba da daidaita yanayin duniya ba ya buƙatar wani shiri daga gwamnati don dakatar da amfani da man fetur mai haɓaka wadata ko kuma don tallafawa da kuma hanzarta ɗaukar makamashi mai sabuntawa mai tsada.
Hakika, muna tsammanin juriyar yanayin duniya ta bayyana musamman ta hanyar gaskiyar cewa bayan manyan shekarun kankara guda biyar, ƙarfin ɗumamawa ya dawo da ƙarfi amma hakan bai dumama duniyar zuwa tafasa kamar Mercury ba. Madadin haka, yanayin zafi ya koma kan hanya zuwa sanyi akai-akai, wanda hakan ke tabbatar da cewa babu wata madauwari ta ranar lahira da ke kaiwa ga bala'i mai ban tsoro kamar yadda yake a cikin samfuran yanayi.
Kamar yadda muka nuna a sama, game da zamanin Quaternary na baya-bayan nan, dusar ƙanƙara ta ƙarshe retreat/narkewa ya tattara tururin ɗumamawa kimanin shekaru 14,000 da suka wuce har sai da aka katse shi da sanyi kwatsam a kusan 10000 - 8500 BC wanda aka sani da Younger-Dryas da aka ambata a baya.
Duk da haka, ɗumamar yanayi ta sake dawowa a shekara ta 8500 kafin haihuwar Annabi Isa, ta yadda daga 5000 zuwa 3000 kafin haihuwar Annabi Isa, matsakaicin zafin duniya ya kai matsakaicin matakinsa a lokacin Holocene Optimum, wanda hakan ya kai matsayin da aka fi so a duniya. 1 zuwa 2 digiri Celsius ya fi yadda suke a yau zafi.
A lokacin Holocene Optimum, yawancin tsoffin wayewar duniya sun fara kuma sun bunƙasa saboda yanayi ya kasance mai karimci ga noma da kuma samar da rarar tattalin arziki. Misali, Kogin Nilu yana da kimanin sau uku na yawansa a yanzu, wanda ke nuna cewa ana tattara ruwansa daga wani yanki mai zafi mafi girma. A gaskiya ma, shekaru 6,000 da suka gabata, Sahara ta fi ta yanzu kyau kuma ta tallafa wa manyan garken dabbobi, kamar yadda aka nuna ta hanyar zane-zanen Tassili N'Ajjer na Algeria.
Wannan wata shaida ce da ke nuna cewa dumi da danshi sun fi kyau ga ɗan adam fiye da lokutan sanyi na baya.
Duk da haka, daga shekara ta 3000 zuwa 2000 kafin haihuwar Annabi Isa, an sake samun wani sabon yanayi na sanyaya yanayi. Na biyu ya haifar da raguwar ruwa a matakin teku da kuma bullowar tsibirai da dama (Bahamas) da yankunan bakin teku waɗanda har yanzu suna sama da matakin teku a yau (har da gidanmu da ke Miami!).
Wani ɗan gajeren yanayi na ɗumama yanayi ya faru daga 2000 zuwa 1500 kafin haihuwar Annabi Isa (AS), wanda ya haifar da sabunta daular Masar da kuma bunƙasar wayewar Minoan, wanda ya biyo baya kuma yanayin sanyi daga 1500 zuwa 750 kafin haihuwar Annabi Isa (AS). Wannan ya haifar da sabunta girman kankara a cikin dusar ƙanƙara ta nahiyar Turai da ƙanƙarar tsaunukan tsaunuka, da kuma faɗuwar matakin teku tsakanin mita 2 zuwa 3 a ƙasa da matakin yanzu. A zahiri, wannan lokacin kuma ana kiransa da zamanin duhu wanda ya gabaci furewar wayewar Girka da Romawa.
Zamanin daga 750 BC zuwa 800 AD ya kawo yanayin ɗumama yanayi da kuma bunƙasar wayewar Girka da Romawa. Duk da haka, a cikin shekarun ƙarshe na Daular Romawa, sanyi ya fara wanda ya ƙaru bayan 600 AD kuma ya haifar da sabon zamanin duhu har zuwa kusan 900 AD.
A lokacin zamanin duhu na 600 - 900 AD, matsakaicin yanayin zafi na duniya ya fi sanyi fiye da na yau. Daga rubuce-rubucen lokacin, mun san cewa a lokacin sanyin ya haifar da Kogin Nilu (829 AD) da Baƙin Teku (800 - 801 AD)don daskarewa, babu ɗaya daga cikinsu da ya faru a yau.
Bayan haka, muhimmin lokacin zafi na Tsakiyar Zamani ya zo daga 1000 zuwa 1300 AD. Kamar yadda aka nuna a jadawalin da ke ƙasa, yanayin zafi ya kasance a ko sama da yadda ake tsammani a yanzu a mafi yawan lokacin, wanda ya ga sake farfaɗo da rayuwar tattalin arziki, ciniki, da wayewa a Turai.
Hakika, kafin dumamar yanayi bayan 1850, akwai lokutan ɗumama yanayi guda biyar daban-daban (wurare ja) tun daga ƙanƙarar da ta gabata shekaru 18,000 da suka gabata, inda yanayin zafi ya fi na yanzu. Tabbas, wannan jadawalin bai taɓa ganin hasken rana a cikin labarin sauyin yanayi na yau da kullun ba.
Haka kuma, a wannan lokacin, Vikings sun kafa matsugunan zama a Iceland da Greenland. Tun kafin zamanin masana'antu, Greenland ta kasance mai dumi, danshi, da kuma wadata har ta kai ga manyan yankunan mulkin mallaka sun faru bayan shekara ta 980 AD. A lokacin da ta kai kololuwarta, ta ƙunshi sama da mazauna 10,000, noma mai yawa, majami'u da yawa na Katolika, da kuma majalisar dokoki wadda daga ƙarshe ta kaɗa ƙuri'ar haɗin gwiwa da Norway.
Don haka, a bayyane yake, Vikings sun sanya wa mazauninsu suna ba don sun yi watsi da launinsa ba, amma saboda ya kasance mai karimci ga mazaunin ɗan adam.
A matsayin wani ma'aunin kwatantawa, bincike ya nuna cewa layin dusar ƙanƙara a tsaunukan Rocky ya kai kimanin mita 370 sama da matakin yanzu (ya fi na yau zafi a can).
Bayan haka, yanayin yanayi ya sake komawa yanayin sanyi. Akwai bayanai da yawa daga ko'ina cikin duniya game da ambaliyar ruwa, fari mai yawa, da kuma canjin yanayi mai tsanani har zuwa shekarun 1400. Mummunan ambaliyar ruwa ta lalata China a shekarar 1332 (an ruwaito cewa ta kashe mutane miliyan da yawa).
Haka kuma, a ƙarni na 14, masarautar Viking ta rasa kanta sakamakon faɗaɗa kankara a teku, kuma yanayin noman ya ƙara yin gajarta, wanda hakan ya kawo cikas ga dorewar tattalin arzikin waɗannan matsugunan noma. Daga ƙarshe abinci ya yi ƙaranci har hunturun da sauran mazauna suka yi a ƙarshen ya zama abin da ya zama ruwan dare a cikin cin naman mutane kamar yadda masana tarihi suka rubuta game da ragowar matsugunan da aka nuna a ƙasa.
Kamar yadda Viking na ƙarshe ya yi gunaguni, ɗumi ya fi kyau ga ɗan adam!
Kuma sauya yanayin karimci na matsugunan zamanin Viking a Greenland ba wai kawai wani yanayi ne na rashin jin daɗi na yanki ba kamar yadda wasu masu fafutukar yanayi suka yi iƙirari. A lokacin Zamanin Dumi na Tsakiyar Zamani, manyan wayewa sun bunƙasa a wasu yankuna da dama waɗanda daga baya suka zama marasa zama.
Misali, wani babban fari ya faru a Kudu maso Yammacin Amurka tsakanin 1276 da 1299. Manyan matsugunan kamar na Chaco Canyon da Mesa Verde waɗanda aka gina a lokacin Zamanin Zafi na Tsakiya sun yi watsi da su. Binciken zoben bishiyoyi ya gano lokacin rashin ruwan sama tsakanin 1276 da 1299 a waɗannan yankuna a matsayin dalilin.
Ba sai an fada ba, wadannan matsalolin yanayi masu tsanani ba su faru ne sakamakon ayyukan masana'antu ba domin babu ko daya, kuma sun faru ne a lokacin da sanyi ke kara yin yawa, ba zafi ba!
Daga 1550 zuwa 1850 AD yanayin zafi na duniya ya kasance a yanayin da ya dace mafi sanyi tun farkon Holocene shekaru 12,000 da suka wuce. Don haka aka sanya wannan lokacin a matsayin Ƙaramin Zamanin Kankara (LIA).
A Turai, ƙanƙara ta sauko daga tsaunuka, ta haka ta mamaye gidaje da ƙauyuka a cikin tsaunukan Swiss Alps, yayin da magudanan ruwa a Holland suka daskare na tsawon watanni uku a jere - wani abu da ba kasafai ake samu ba kafin ko bayan haka. Yawan amfanin gona shi ma ya ragu sosai, har ma ya zama ba zai yiwu ba a sassan arewacin Turai. An yi rikodin hunturu na Little Ice Age a cikin zane-zanen Dutch da Flemish kamar Mafarauta a Cikin Dusar ƙanƙara na Pieter Bruegel (c. 1525-69)
A tsakanin shekarun 1580 zuwa 1600, Yammacin Amurka ta fuskanci ɗaya daga cikin fari mafi tsawo kuma mafi tsanani a cikin shekaru 500 da suka gabata. Haka kuma, sanyi a Iceland daga 1753 da 1759 ya sa kashi 25 cikin 100 na al'ummar ƙasar suka mutu sakamakon gazawar amfanin gona da yunwa.
A bayyane yake, lokacin da LIA ta ƙare a ƙarshen shekarar 1850, yanayin zafi na duniya ya kai wani yanayi mafi muni. Ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa Climate Howlers sun fara jadawalinsu a tsakiyar ƙarni na 19!
Amma muhimmancin wannan gaskiyar ya wuce yadda aka yi amfani da taswirar yanayin zafi a shekarar 1850 cikin yaudara. A gaskiya ma, domin kawar da yanayin da aka bayyana a sama na sauyin yanayi, masu fafutukar sauyin yanayi sun yi nisa sosai don ƙoƙarin kawar da su daga doron ƙasa.
Muna magana ne game da abin da muke kira yanayi Piltdown Mann—wanda aka sanya wa suna don wani Michael Mann, wanda aka ƙera sabon digirin digirgir a shekarar 1998 wanda ya zama babban mai bincike na IPCC (Ƙungiyar Duniya kan Sauyin Yanayi) kuma mai fafutukar abin da ya zama abin da ya zama hujjar "sandar hockey" ta ɗumamar yanayi.
Na ƙarshe, ba shakka, shine zamba bayyananne da aka saka a cikin hoton da Al Gore ya shahara a cikin fim ɗinsa mai suna farfaganda mai suna An m gaskiya a shekarar 2006. Ya isa a ce manufar sandar wasan hockey ita ce a goge dukkan shaidun da aka taƙaita a sama.
Wato, maimakon yanayin duniya na dogon lokaci da na baya-bayan nan mai tsanani, IPCC ta gabatar da wani ra'ayi daban. Wato, a ƙarni na farko kafin masana'antu kafin 1900, yanayin zafi na duniya ya kusan lanƙwasa a matsayin abin da za a iya fahimta.
Saboda haka, sai lokacin da zamanin masana'antu ya fara tururi ya kai ga cikakken ƙarfi bayan 1950 ne yanayin zafi na yau ya fara bayyana, ko kuma haka aka yi zargin. Shawarar, ba shakka, ita ce an fara samun ɓarkewar yanayin zafi mara tsari kuma bala'in duniya yana gab da karewa.
Matsalar kawai ita ce jadawalin Mann ya yi kama da na Piltdown Man - wanda aka san shi da cutar a Ingila a shekarar 1912 kuma wani masanin ilimin ɗan adam wanda ba shi da ƙwarewa ya "gano" shi cikin sauƙi, wanda ya yi iƙirarin cewa shine abin da ya ɓace a juyin halittar ɗan adam. Daga ƙarshe, an nuna cewa burbushin jabu ne; ya ƙunshi kwanyar ɗan adam ta zamani da kuma muƙamuƙin orangutan mai haƙoran da aka yi wa fenti.
A wannan yanayin, farfesa Mann da abokan aikinsa a IPCC sun yi amfani da bayanai marasa tushe daga zoben bishiyoyi na Kudu maso Yammacin Amurka maimakon bayanai masu yawa da ke nuna akasin haka, kuma suka yi amfani da samfuran kwamfutocinsu don samar da sakamakon da aka riga aka ƙayyade.
Wato, samfuran sun kasance abin da aka nema Mann da abokan aikinsa sun yi wannan bincike ne domin tabbatar da cewa an yi amfani da fasahar ɗumamar yanayi ta hanyar ɗan adam. A taƙaice dai, an yi hakan ne kawai ta hanyar liƙa bayanan yanayin zafi na zamani wanda ke nuna ƙaruwar da ba ta taɓa faruwa ba a baya ga tushen da aka kafa kafin masana'antu.
An nuna tushen karya kafin masana'antu ta hanyar yankin rawaya a cikin jadawalin lokacin 1400-1900. Ba shakka, fashewar sararin rawaya kamar sandar hockey ta sararin samaniya bayan 1900, ana zargin ta nuna hauhawar zafin jiki da ɗan adam ya haifar tun farkon zamanin hydrocarbon.
Sabanin haka, sigar da aka gyara tana cikin yanki mai shuɗi. A cikin wannan sigar - wanda ya yi daidai da tarihin yanayin da aka ambata a sama - babu sandar hockey saboda sandar ba ta taɓa faruwa ba; ƙirƙira ta hanyar amfani da na'urorin kwamfuta, ba a cire su daga tarin bayanan kimiyya da aka yi zargin an gina binciken Mann a kansu ba.
Don haka an amsa tambayar. Tsakiyar ƙarni na 19 shine ainihin tushen da ba daidai ba wanda za a iya auna canjin yanayin zafi na duniya a zamanin yau.
A zahiri, yankin shuɗi na jadawalin shine bindiga mai shan taba wadda ke share dukkan ma'anar da ake amfani da ita wajen yin amfani da Hoax na Climate Crisis Hoax a kan mutanen duniya na yau da kullun.
To, eh, makaho mai makaho wani lokacin yana yin abin da zai ceci rai, kuma Donald Trump ya yi wanda zai taimaka wajen ci gaba da wayewar masana'antu na dogon lokaci.
An sake bugawa daga David Stockman's sabis na sirri
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David Stockman, Babban Malami a Cibiyar Brownstone, shine marubucin litattafai da yawa akan siyasa, kudi, da tattalin arziki. Shi tsohon dan majalisa ne daga Michigan, kuma tsohon Daraktan Ofishin Gudanarwa da Kasafin Kudi na Majalisa. Yana gudanar da shafin nazari na tushen biyan kuɗi ContraCorner.
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