A cewar CDC, Amurka ta yi hasara 3,358,814 na jama'arta a cikin 2020, haɓakar da aka daidaita shekaru 15.9% idan aka kwatanta da 2019. Ga CDC, dalilin wannan karuwa a fili ya bayyana kansa kuma a fili: COVID-19, wanda "ya zama na uku babban sanadin mutuwa."
Amma - wannan gaskiya ne ko ma mai yiwuwa?
Bari mu kwatanta shekarun rabon mace-mace a cikin duka jama'a da wanda ke cikin rukunin wanda aka danganta mutuwarsa da COVID-19. Lambobin sune CDC's, lissafin kaso kai tsaye (Lambar kowace rukunin shekaru / Jimlar lamba * 100):
Kamar ko'ina a duniya, ƙungiyar (ƙungiyar) na mutanen da suka mutu "na ko tare da COVID-19" sun kai matsakaicin shekaru kama (ko da ɗan sama da) yawan jama'a.
Wannan shine yadda rabon shekarun yayi kama da zane:
Kamar ko'ina a duniya (duba labarina na kwanan nan), coronavirus (ko - maimakon - ingantaccen gwajin PCR) yayi kama da a bazuwar canzawa dangane da sakamakon da aka lura "mutuwa" - kamar ƙafar 'yan wasa, kamar sa safa ja, kamar kowace kwayar cutar sanyi ta gama gari.
Ganin cewa, bayan kusan shekara guda na gwajin jama'a, ƙungiyar gwajin gwajin PCR tabbas za a iya la'akari da samfurin wakilci na yawan jama'a (tare da wataƙila ban da ƙaramin ƙanana), wannan shine abin da kowane masanin kididdiga da cututtukan cututtukan da ke da darajar gishirin sa zai ƙare: Kyakkyawan gwajin Corona-gwajin bazuwar bazuwar dangane da sakamakon da aka lura "mutuwa".
Don sanya shi daban - me yasa ƙungiyar masu gwajin Corona za su kai matsakaicin matsakaicin shekaru fiye da sauran jama'a, wace siffa ce za ta ba wa wannan rukunin musamman tsayi fiye da matsakaicin tsawon rayuwa?
Tabbas, munanan nau'ikan cututtukan numfashi da suka haifar da / tare da SARS-CoV-2 suna wanzu. Tabbas, dole ne cibiyoyin mu na likitanci su yi magani, taimako da tallafawa, gwargwadon iliminsu da iyawarsu, kowane ɗayan mutanen da abin ya shafa. Tabbas, shari'o'in mutum ɗaya na iya zama mai karya zuciya. Tabbas, ana iya shimfiɗa ƙarfin asibiti a lokacin lokutan mura (sun kasance).
Matsakaici, duk da haka, "mutuwar COVID-19" za ta bar wannan duniyar a lokaci guda, tare da Corona ko daga / tare da wata cuta ko wata cuta. (A zahiri, yawancin su tabbas sun mutu wani abu dabam fiye da COVID-19.) Ba mu dawwama. A matsakaici, muna mutuwa a matsakaicin shekarun mutuwa.
A matsayin ƙungiya, mutuwar COVID-19 wani ɓangare ne na al'ada kuma, a cikin maƙasudin ƙarshe, mace-mace ba za a iya kaucewa ba.
Me ya sa, don haka, Amurka, me yasa wasu (amma ba duka ba!) ƙasashe suka ga yawan mace-mace a cikin 2020?
Ba wai ina da tabbataccen amsar wannan tambayar ba; har yanzu yana buƙatar yin nazari a cikin zurfin zurfi, kuma muna iya fatan cewa hakan zai faru.
Abin da mutum zai iya cewa shi ne, a cikin 2020, biyu al'amuran rugujewa sun faru, kowannensu yana da tasirin tasiri kan mace-macen jama'a: annoba mai kama da mura, saboda SARS-CoV-2, da martanin al'umma da siyasa da ba a taɓa gani ba (firgita, kulle-kulle da sauransu) ga wannan ƙwayar cuta. Yawancin marubuta sun riga sun tattara shaidar cewa abu na biyu yana da muhimmanci tasiri (duba kuma gidan yanar gizon "Ƙaƙwalwar Duniya" tare da da yawa nassoshi).
Bari mu koma ga bayanan CDC: Domin ba da damar kwatancen shekaru da yawa, CDC tana ƙididdige madaidaicin adadin mutuwa a cikin mutane 100,000 na kowane rukunin shekaru. Ana iya samun adadin mutuwa don 2019 nan: a cikin jadawali da ke ƙarƙashin taken: “Shin adadin takamaiman shekarun mutuwa a cikin 2019 sun canza daga 2018…?”, waɗanda na 2020 kuma nan: a cikin maƙallan bayan ɗanyen lambobi a cikin teburin da ke kan gaba: "Lambobin wucin gadi da adadin yawan mace-mace da mutuwar masu alaƙa da COVID-19..."
Abin da CDC ke da shi (a zahiri?) ba Anyi, shine a kwatanta takamaiman adadin shekaru na 2020 zuwa na 2019, don ƙididdige canjin, sannan a danganta wannan canjin da takamaiman shekarun mutuwar COVID-19. Ga wadannan bayanai:
| Yawan Mutuwar Amurka a cikin mutane 100,000 | |
| | | | |
| Total 2019 | Total 2020 | Change | COVID19 2020 |
| Age Group | | | | |
| 1-4 | 23.3 | 22.2 | -1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5-14 | 13.4 | 13.6 | + 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 15-24 | 69.7 | 83.2 | + 13.5 | 1.4 |
| 25-34 | 128.8 | 157.9 | + 29.1 | 5.5 |
| 35-44 | 199.2 | 246.2 | + 47.0 | 15.8 |
| 45-54 | 392.4 | 467.8 | + 75.4 | 44.2 |
| 55-64 | 883.3 | 1,028.5 | + 145.2 | 105.1 |
| 65_74 | 1,764.6 | 2068.8 | + 304.2 | 249.2 |
| 75-84 | 4,308.3 | 4,980.2 | + 671.9 | 635.8 |
| > 85 | 13,228.6 | 15,007.4 | + 1,778.8 | 1,797.8 |
| | | | |
| Source: CDC | | | | |
Haɓaka adadin mutuwar takamaiman shekaru a cikin ƙananan ɓangarorin jama'a (shekaru 15 - 54) ya kasance mai matuƙar mahimmanci - ya haura 20%. Kuma mutum ba zai iya jayayya da hasashe cewa wannan karuwar ta kasance saboda COVID-19. Dubi lambobin kawai: Yawan mutuwar COVID-19 a cikin waɗannan rukunin shekarun sun yi ƙanƙanta sosai. Wani abu kuma dole ne ya haifar da wannan karuwar mace-mace a cikin matasa.
Sabanin mutuwar COVID-19, waɗannan shekarun Rayuwa ne na gaskiya - yawancin su.
Wataƙila za su iya taimakawa wajen bayyana yawan mace-macen da Amurka ta lura a cikin 2020. Kamar yadda aka ce, ana buƙatar ƙarin bincike da zurfi. Bari mu yi fatan cewa a ƙarshe, hankali na hankali da kimiyyar hankali za su yi nasara a kan yanayin ɗabi'a da ɗabi'a wanda ya mamaye kusan dukkanin duniya.
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Manfred Horst, MD, PhD, MBA, yayi karatun likitanci a Munich, Montpellier da London. Ya shafe mafi yawan aikinsa a masana'antar harhada magunguna, kwanan nan a cikin sashen bincike & ci gaba na Merck & Co/MSD. Tun daga 2017, yana aiki a matsayin mai ba da shawara mai zaman kansa don harhada magunguna, fasahar kere-kere da kamfanonin kiwon lafiya (www.manfred-horst-consulting.com).
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